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England and Wales Court of Appeal (Criminal Division) Decisions |
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You are here: BAILII >> Databases >> England and Wales Court of Appeal (Criminal Division) Decisions >> Anthony, R. v [2005] EWCA Crim 952 (11 April 2005) URL: http://www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWCA/Crim/2005/952.html Cite as: [2005] EWCA Crim 952 |
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CRIMINAL DIVISION
Strand London, WC2 |
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B e f o r e :
(Deputy Chief Justice of England and Wales)
MRS JUSTICE HALLETT DBE
MR JUSTICE LEVESON
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R E G I N A | ||
-v- | ||
DONNA ANTHONY |
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Smith Bernal Wordwave Limited
190 Fleet Street London EC4A 2AG
Tel No: 020 7404 1400 Fax No: 020 7831 8838
(Official Shorthand Writers to the Court)
MR P DUNKELS QC AND MR R DAVIES appeared on behalf of the CROWN
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Crown Copyright ©
"... but the fact that counsel was faced with a difficult tactical decision did not make Professor Meadow's evidence inadmissible or its admission unfair."
Accordingly, the first ground of appeal was rejected.
"I am glad your daughter is dead. It is best place she could be because you are a hopeless mother and you didn't deserve children."
"... possibility of one mother having two unexplained deaths, in other words lightening striking twice, was most unlikely and outside his experience."
"Natural cot death has an incidence now of about 1 in 1,000, so the chance of natural cot death happening twice in a family is 1 in 1,000 times 1 in 1,000, which is 1 in 1,000,000. It is extraordinarily unlikely ..."
"'... the occurrence of a second unexpected infant death within a family is not a rare event and is usually from natural causes'."
"Statements that the risk of recurrence of SIDS is incredibly small are intended to suggest that the probability of such deaths being natural is zero. Selective media reporting can endorse this misconception. Our data suggests that second deaths are not rare and that the majority, 80 to 90 % (40 and 45; or 18 in 20) are natural. Families who have experienced three unexpected deaths also occur. The study included two families in which there were two CONI deaths, one triple SIDS and one triple filicide.
This study is the largest follow-up of families who have had a sudden unexpected and unexplained infant death. The CONI Programme has been available in over 75 % of districts in England, Wales and Northern Ireland since 1994, and we would know if many eligible mothers declined to participate. We have, therefore, probably included the majority of families in which there have been two or three sudden and unexpected deaths in recent years. Consequently, although child abuse is not uncommon, from the best available data, we believe that the occurrence of a second or third unexpected death in infancy within a family, although relatively rare, is in most cases from natural causes."
"Multiple unexplained deaths in the same family are indeed rare, but that if there is nothing to explain them, in our current state of knowledge, at any rate, they remain unexplained and still, despite the known fact that some parents do smother their infant children, possible natural deaths. The exclusion of currently known natural causes of infant death does not establish that the death or deaths resulted from the deliberate infliction of harm. That represents not only the legal principle, which must be applied in any event, but, in addition, it appears to us to coincide with the views of a reputable body of expert medical opinion."
"... if the death of each of these children is looked at without reference to the other, their deaths are unexplained. So looking at them entirely separately, they are not cot deaths, they are unexplained deaths. Therefore, although he [that is Professor Berry] accepted that if one baby in a family dies from a cot death, the second and subsequent babies have an increased risk of doing the same, it does not apply here, he said, because Jordan's death was not a cot death. It only applies if the first baby was a cot death when you are looking at the other, and this one was not.
He then considered the possibility of one mother having two unexplained deaths. In other words, lightening striking twice: he said it was most unlikely and outside his experience.
He therefore arrived at the conclusion that it is most likely that both babies had been suffocated."
"... arose from the anxiety surrounding Jordan's death."
For the reasons he had given, the judge told the jury, his doubt about Michael's sudden death arose from the anxieties surrounding Jordan's death and stresses concerning the marriage breakdown, and the brief interval between Michael's discharge from hospital and death, and he arrived at the conclusion that it was very likely that he too was smothered by the defendant.
"So far he has come to a conclusion about these children only considering the matters that concern each child and not considering matters that concern the other child. But he goes on now to do so. He said ... having looked at the deaths of these two children quite separately from each other and having come to the conclusion that the likelihood is that both were smothered, it is important to go further and consider the fact that Michael's death was a second death, in other words to consider the fact that these two young babies were brother and sister. The fact that Michael's death was a second death is a very important point, he said, and it made people look more carefully at his death because there are such long odds against two children dying from natural, unexplained causes, coming from the same family."
"Stripped down, this argument goes as follows: 'We find that several unlikely things have happened close together. The likelihood of this coincidence is very low. Therefore it is probably not a coincidence, and my alternative explanation is more likely to be the right one'. ... A careful distinction had to be made between pattern recognition ... [which] is a fundamental tool of expert clinicians (although increasingly this can and should be substantiated by a physiological measurement): and discussions of coincidence/chance/probability, which seem to emerge from the supplementary report, and can create seriously fallacious arguments."
"We agree ... that this is fallacious, but for a much simpler reason ... [here is the reason]: namely that multiplying one probability by another is only valid if the two events are independent (in both a statistical and a biological sense). Within a family, events such as cot death are clearly not 'independent' of one another, and therefore the probabilities cannot be multiplied together."
"... the balance of the medical evidence appears ... to be much less unfavourable to Mrs Anthony than was the case at trial."
"Where the Court of Appeal allows an appeal against conviction ... the Court may make a defendant's costs order in favour of the accused."
That is our starting point.
(Pause)