AA (Article 15(c)) (Rev 2) [2015] UKUT 544 (IAC) (30 October 2015)

Upper Tribunal

(Immigration and Asylum Chamber)

AA (Article 15(c)) Iraq CG [2015] UKUT 544 (IAC)

THE IMMIGRATION ACTS

Heard at Field House, London	Decision Promulgated
On 18 and 19 May 2015	On 30 October 2015

Before

Upper Tribunal Judge Peter Lane

Upper Tribunal Judge O'Connor

Upper Tribunal Judge Finch

Between

(Anonymity order made)

Appellant

and

THE SECRETARY OF STATE FOR THE HOME DEPARTMENT

Respondent

Representation :

For the Appellant: Mr D. Bazini (Counsel) and Mr C. Cole (Solicitor) instructed by Parker Rhodes Hickmotts Solicitors

For the Respondent: Mr D. Blundell (Counsel) instructed by the Government Legal Department

COUNTRY GUIDANCE

Note: References to Iraq herein are to the territory of Iraq excluding the autonomous Iraqi Kurdish Region ("IKR") unless otherwise stated.

A. INDISCRIMINATE VIOLENCE IN IRAQ: ARTICLE 15(C) OF THE QUALIFICATION DIRECTIVE

1. There is at present a state of internal armed conflict in certain parts of Iraq, involving government security forces, militias of various kinds, and the Islamist group known as ISIL. The intensity of this armed conflict in the so-called "contested areas", comprising the governorates of Anbar, Diyala, Kirkuk, (aka Ta'min), Ninewah and Salah Al-din, is such that, as a general matter, there are substantial grounds for believing that any civilian returned there, solely on account of his or her presence there, faces a real risk of being subjected to indiscriminate violence amounting to serious harm within the scope of Article 15(c) of the Qualification Directive.

2. The degree of armed conflict in certain parts of the "Baghdad Belts" (the urban environs around Baghdad City) is also of the intensity described in paragraph 1 above, thereby giving rise to a generalised Article 15(c) risk. The parts of the Baghdad Belts concerned are those forming the border between the Baghdad Governorate and the contested areas described in paragraph 1.

3. The degree of armed conflict in the remainder of Iraq (including Baghdad City) is not such as to give rise to indiscriminate violence amounting to such serious harm to civilians, irrespective of their individual characteristics, so as to engage Article 15(c).

4. In accordance with the principles set out in Elgafaji (C-465/07) and QD (Iraq) v Secretary of State for the Home Department [2009] EWCA Civ 620, decision-makers in Iraqi cases should assess the individual characteristics of the person claiming humanitarian protection, in order to ascertain whether those characteristics are such as to put that person at real risk of Article 15(c) harm.

B. DOCUMENTATION AND FEASIBILITY OF RETURN (excluding IKR)

5. Return of former residents of the Iraqi Kurdish Region (IKR) will be to the IKR and all other Iraqis will be to Baghdad. The Iraqi authorities will allow an Iraqi national (P) in the United Kingdom to enter Iraq only if P is in possession of a current or expired Iraqi passport relating to P, or a laissez passer.

6. No Iraqi national will be returnable to Baghdad if not in possession of one of these documents.

7. In the light of the Court of Appeal's judgment in HF (Iraq) and Others v Secretary of State for the Home Department [2013] EWCA Civ 1276, an international protection claim made by P cannot succeed by reference to any alleged risk of harm arising from an absence of Iraqi identification documentation, if the Tribunal finds that P's return is not currently feasible, given what is known about the state of P's documentation.

C. POSITION ON DOCUMENTATION WHERE RETURN IS FEASIBLE

8. It will only be where the Tribunal is satisfied that the return of P to Iraq is feasible that the issue of alleged risk of harm arising from an absence of Iraqi identification documentation will require judicial determination.

9. Having a Civil Status Identity Document (CSID) is one of the ways in which it is possible for an Iraqi national in the United Kingdom to obtain a passport or a laissez passer. Where the Secretary of State proposes to remove P by means of a passport or laissez passer, she will be expected to demonstrate to the Tribunal what, if any, identification documentation led the Iraqi authorities to issue P with the passport or laissez passer (or to signal their intention to do so).

10. Where P is returned to Iraq on a laissez passer or expired passport, P will be at no risk of serious harm at the point of return by reason of not having a current passport or other current form of Iraqi identification document.

11. Where P's return to Iraq is found by the Tribunal to be feasible, it will generally be necessary to decide whether P has a CSID, or will be able to obtain one, reasonably soon after arrival in Iraq. A CSID is generally required in order for an Iraqi to access financial assistance from the authorities; employment; education; housing; and medical treatment. If P shows there are no family or other members likely to be able to provide means of support, P is in general likely to face a real risk of destitution, amounting to serious harm, if, by the time any funds provided to P by the Secretary of State or her agents to assist P's return have been exhausted, it is reasonably likely that P will still have no CSID.

12. Where return is feasible but P does not have a CSID, P should as a general matter be able to obtain one from the Civil Status Affairs Office for P's home Governorate, using an Iraqi passport (whether current or expired), if P has one. If P does not have such a passport, P's ability to obtain a CSID may depend on whether P knows the page and volume number of the book holding P's information (and that of P's family). P's ability to persuade the officials that P is the person named on the relevant page is likely to depend on whether P has family members or other individuals who are prepared to vouch for P.

13. P's ability to obtain a CSID is likely to be severely hampered if P is unable to go to the Civil Status Affairs Office of P's Governorate because it is in an area where Article 15(c) serious harm is occurring. As a result of the violence, alternative CSA Offices for Mosul, Anbar and Saluhaddin have been established in Baghdad and Kerbala. The evidence does not demonstrate that the "Central Archive", which exists in Baghdad, is in practice able to provide CSIDs to those in need of them. There is, however, a National Status Court in Baghdad, to which P could apply for formal recognition of identity. The precise operation of this court is, however, unclear.

D. INTERNAL RELOCATION WITHIN IRAQ (OTHER THAN THE IRAQI KURDISH REGION)

14. As a general matter, it will not be unreasonable or unduly harsh for a person from a contested area to relocate to Baghdad City or (subject to paragraph 2 above) the Baghdad Belts.

15. In assessing whether it would be unreasonable/unduly harsh for P to relocate to Baghdad, the following factors are, however, likely to be relevant:

(a) whether P has a CSID or will be able to obtain one (see Part C above);

(b) whether P can speak Arabic (those who cannot are less likely to find employment);

(c) whether P has family members or friends in Baghdad able to accommodate him;

(d) whether P is a lone female (women face greater difficulties than men in finding employment);

(e) whether P can find a sponsor to access a hotel room or rent accommodation;

(f) whether P is from a minority community;

(g) whether there is support available for P bearing in mind there is some evidence that returned failed asylum seekers are provided with the support generally given to IDPs.

16. There is not a real risk of an ordinary civilian travelling from Baghdad airport to the southern governorates, suffering serious harm en route to such governorates so as engage Article 15(c).

E. IRAQI KURDISH REGION

17. The Respondent will only return P to the IKR if P originates from the IKR and P's identity has been 'pre-cleared' with the IKR authorities. The authorities in the IKR do not require P to have an expired or current passport, or laissez passer.

18. The IKR is virtually violence free. There is no Article 15(c) risk to an ordinary civilian in the IKR.

19. A Kurd (K) who does not originate from the IKR can obtain entry for 10 days as a visitor and then renew this entry permission for a further 10 days. If K finds employment, K can remain for longer, although K will need to register with the authorities and provide details of the employer. There is no evidence that the IKR authorities pro-actively remove Kurds from the IKR whose permits have come to an end.

20. Whether K, if returned to Baghdad, can reasonably be expected to avoid any potential undue harshness in that city by travelling to the IKR, will be fact sensitive; and is likely to involve an assessment of (a)the practicality of travel from Baghdad to the IKR (such as to Irbil by air); (b)the likelihood of K's securing employment in the IKR; and (c) the availability of assistance from family and friends in the IKR.

21. As a general matter, a non-Kurd who is at real risk in a home area in Iraq is unlikely to be able to relocate to the IKR.

F. EXISTING COUNTRY GUIDANCE DECISIONS

22. This decision replaces all existing country guidance on Iraq

TABLE OF CONTENTS

	Paragraph numbers
Glossary
Introduction	1 - 5
Evidence - A Summary
• Written evidence of Dr Fatah • Oral evidence of Dr Fatah • Evidence from Amnesty International • Home Office Country Information Guidance • UNHCR's position paper	6-11 12-29 30-35 36-43 44
Existing Country Guidance	45-49
The submissions - A Summary
• Appellant's skeleton argument • Appellant's oral submissions • Respondent's skeleton argument • Respondent's oral submissions	51-58 59-67 68-74 75-82
Art 15(c) of the Qualification Directive
• Legal Framework • Decision and Conclusions ‐ The Contested Areas ‐ Babil Governorate ‐ IKR ‐ The Southern Governorates ‐ Baghdad city ‐ The Baghdad Belts	83-86 87-100 101-106 107-111 112-113 114-117 118-137 138-146
Internal relocation
Legal Framework • Places of return • Relocation to Baghdad • Obtaining a CSID whilst in the UK ‐ Obtaining a CSID in Iraq ‐ Conditions in Baghdad	147-149 150 151-172 173-177 178-187 188-203
Country Guidance	204
Conclusion of Appellant's appeal	205-210
Documentary evidence before the Upper Tribunal	Appendix A

GLOSSARY

CSID - Civil Status Identity Document

DTM - Migration Displacement Tracking

GoI - Government of Iraq

IBC - Iraq Body Count

IDP - Internally Displaced Person

IED - Improvised Explosive Device

IKR - Iraqi Kurdish Region

INC - Iraqi Nationality Certificate

IOM - International Organisation for Migration

IRC - International Rescue Committee

ISF - Iraqi Security Forces

ISIL - Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant

MODM - Ministry of Displacement and Migration

MoI - Ministry of Interior

NRC - Norwegian Refugee Council

PACS - Protection and Assistance Centres

PARCS - Protection, Assistance and Reintegration Centres

PDS - Public Distribution System

UNAMI - United Nations Assistance Mission in Iraq

USAID - United States Agency for International Development

VARRP - Voluntary Assisted Return and Reintegration Programme

Anonymity

Pursuant to Rule 14 of the Tribunal Procedure (Upper Tribunal) Rules 2008 (SI2008/269) an Anonymity Order is made. Unless the Upper Tribunal or Court orders otherwise, no report of any proceedings or any form of publication thereof shall directly or indirectly identify the original Appellant. This prohibition applies to, amongst others, all parties.

DECISION AND REASONS

Introduction

1. Each member of the panel has contributed to this decision. The appeal comes before us by order of Davis LJ sealed on the 25 October 2012, who remitted it:

"... for reconsideration pursuant to paragraph 12 of schedule 4 to the Transfer of Functions of the Asylum and Immigration Tribunal Order 2010 and section 14 of the Tribunals Courts and Enforcement Act 2007" .

2. This case has been identified to give country guidance on Iraq in light of circumstances in that country that have arisen since the decision in HM and others (Article 15 (c)) Iraq CG [2012] UKUT 409 (IAC) ("HM2"). Our consideration has been limited to the issue of whether Article 15(c) of Council Directive 2004/83/EC [1] ("the Qualification Directive") prevents the removal of Iraqi nationals, and in particular the Appellant, to Iraq on the basis that they are entitled to subsidiary protection.

3. The Appellant is a national of Iraq who entered the United Kingdom on 7 January 2009, aged 17. He applied for asylum on the following day, having first been arrested. This application was refused by the Respondent on 18 June 2009 and on the same date a decision was made to remove the Appellant to Iraq pursuant to section 10 of the Immigration and Asylum Act 1999. The Appellant appealed this decision to the Asylum and Immigration Tribunal on Refugee Convention, humanitarian protection and human rights grounds, but his appeal was dismissed by Immigration Judge Batiste in a determination dated 7 September 2009. On 27 January 2010 Burnett J (as he then was) ordered the Tribunal to reconsider the Appellant's appeal. Thereafter, on the 23 June 2010, Deputy Upper Tribunal Judge Wynne set aside the determination of Immigration Judge Batiste on the basis that:

"... the IJ's treatment of the expert evidence was contradictory because the IJ preferred the expert on factual matters to the COIS report but approached the report with "a great deal of circumspection" and placed "very limited weight" on it. Thus the IJ rejected aspects of the expert evidence whilst accepting other parts of it without adequate reasons for adopting this approach.

... because the Appellant was at the relevant time under the age of 18, the IJ was wrong in taking into account what he is alleged to have said at his age assessment by social workers.

... the IJ's rejection of the Appellant's humanitarian protection claim under Article 15c of the Qualification Directive is flawed for inadequate reasoning"

4. The re-making of the decision on the Appellant's appeal was adjourned and came back before Judge Wynne on 22 February 2011, on which occasion the Appellant gave further oral evidence. Judge Wynne dismissed the Appellant's appeal on all grounds in a determination dated 1 April 2011. In doing so it was accepted that: (i) the Appellant lived in the family home in Dubis, Kirkuk until he left Iraq at the end of 2008 to travel to the United Kingdom; (ii) the Appellant's father died in 2006; and, (iii) the Appellant's cousin is a lorry driver who remains living in Iraq, and is based in Kirkuk. Judge Wynne did not accept the truth of the Appellant's evidence that: (i) his father had been a high ranking Ba'ath official, (ii) his uncle had been a Ba'ath official of lesser rank than his father and, (iii) his family (mother and sisters) had left Iraq for Syria.

5. The original grounds seeking permission to appeal from the Court of Appeal related solely to Judge Wynne's assessment of the credibility of the evidence given by the Appellant. Moses LJ refused to grant the Appellant permission in relation to such grounds. However, shortly thereafter the Court of Appeal handed down its judgment in the case of HM (Iraq) v Secretary of State for the Home Department [2011] EWCA Civ 1536. This prompted the Appellant to amend his grounds to rely upon the terms of that judgment. Laws LJ subsequently granted permission to appeal in relation to the amended ground only and, as identified above, Davis LJ later allowed the appeal, without a hearing, and the matter was remitted to the Upper Tribunal for "reconsideration". Paragraphs 6 and 7 of the Statement of Reasons attached to the order of Davis LJ read:

"6. The Respondent accepts that this appeal should be remitted to the Upper Tribunal for reconsideration under article 15(c) of the Qualification Directive only...

7. For this reason, the parties are agreed that the matter be remitted back to the Immigration and Asylum Chamber of the Upper Tribunal for re-hearing of the appeal by the Tribunal."

The Evidence - A Summary

6. The Appellant produced written evidence from Dr Rebwar Fatah, contained in reports dated 27 February 2015, 8 April 2015 and 1 May 2015. Dr Fatah also gave oral evidence before us. In addition to the evidence provided by Dr Fatah , there was also a considerable amount of other documentary evidence before us, a schedule of which is attached as Appendix A hereto. The Appellant was not called to provide oral evidence. We have had regard to all of the material before us, both written and oral, when coming to our conclusions.

Written Evidence of Dr Fatah

7. Dr Fatah was awarded a BSc and MSc by the University of London and a PhD by University College London and worked in commercial and strategic positions from 1989-2001 for British Telecom, Fujitsu, Nortel Networks and 186K. Since 2000 he has been working as an expert producing country reports, nationality assessments and document authentication reports for solicitors' firms in the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, the United States and Norway. He has also acted as a consultant to the Commissioner General for Refugees and Stateless Persons of Belgium and with the Finnish League for Human Rights. He speaks Kurdish Sorani and Arabic in addition to English.

8. Since 2000, he has completed approximately 2,000 expert reports (these include reports for four country guidance cases) as well as over 100 scientific, technical and commercial conference papers. He is the founder of the Middle East Consultancy Service ("MECS"). This service has provided in-depth research for UNHCR, International Organisation for Migration-Iraq, Transparency International and Risk Advisory. He travels to Iraq and IKR on a regular basis and was most recently there between 31 August and 16 September 2014 and 29 January and 6 February 2015.

9. In his 90 page report, dated 27 February 2015, Dr Fatah addresses the general security situation in Iraq in some detail, with particular reference to the 'disputed territories', Baghdad, the south and the IKR. He thereafter provides in depth evidence in relation to the issue of relocation within Iraq, focusing on Baghdad and the IKR and, in particular, the economic and humanitarian situation in those areas and the obtaining of identity documentation.

10. In his report of 8 April 2015 Dr Fatah provides detailed evidence on the demography and security situation in Baghdad, with particular consideration being given to whether non-state militia are present in Baghdad, whether they have de facto control of any civilian urban areas within the Baghdad governorate; whether they target civilians and, if so, how and who. Thereafter he addresses issues relating to road travel in the south of Iraq and the circumstances prevailing in the southern governorates. Dr Fatah then sets out a summary of the contact he, or his organisation, has with, inter alia, the Ministry of Interior of Iraq, the Ministry of Displacement and Migration, an Iraqi MP, UNHCR-Iraq, the International Organisation for Migration, the Norwegian Refugee Council and USAID Iraq Access for Justice - identifying in particular the role that these organisations play in Iraq. He finally turns, in his second report, to further consider relocation to the IKR and, in particular, the mechanics of entry into and residence within that region.

11. In the latter of his three reports Dr Fatah addresses the nature and extent of Baghdad's "Central Archive" of civil records.

Oral Evidence of Dr Fatah

12. In oral evidence Dr Fatah attested to the accuracy of his written reports and expanded further on matters set out therein. He referred to the evidence already provided as to the documents an Iraqi national is required to produce to the Iraqi consulate in London in order to obtain a laissez-passer. A laissez-passer is not a recognised form of identity document in Iraq. A recognised Iraqi identity document is required in order to move around Iraq and access services there.

13. Dr Fatah was referred to the conclusions found in paragraph 91 of the Tribunal's decision in MK (documents - relocation) Iraq CG [2012] UKUT 126 (IAC) i.e. that a healthy adolescent or adult Iraqi would have memorised or have access to the book, page, and volume number of the location of their family record. He disagreed with this conclusion, although he accepted that some people would remember these details. Iraqi nationals do not need to recall such details because they have to produce the actual identity document when they wish to rely upon it. Each member of a person's immediate family i.e. wife and children is listed on the same pages. The 2014 Landinfo report Iraq : Travel documents and other identity documents, relied upon by Dr Fatah, explains that before marriage an individual will appear on pages in the family record with his or her parents and siblings and after any marriage he or she will be listed on pages including his or her spouse and any of their own children. Therefore, immediate family members will have the same file and page number in the family records. If a person's family record is moved to a different file and/or page, the old record identifies this fact, as well as details of where any new record is to be found. The Civil Status Identity Document ("CSID") is the most important document and is a gateway to all other identity documents.

14. Obtaining a replacement CSID requires production of evidence confirming identity. If a person has no documents to prove his identity it is possible to make a request to the National Status Court to issue a verdict as to that person's identity. This requires such person to produce two witnesses, each of whom must have a CSID, who would have to convince a judge of the person's identity and the fact that he/she has lost their CSID. The documentary record of this verdict can thereafter be produced to the Civil Status Office. This could take "three weeks or longer" depending on the area. The Baghdad office is busy.

15. Moving on to the economic situation in Iraq, Dr Fatah observed that the price of oil has crashed - oil revenue forming a significant part of Iraq's GDP. ISIL either destroys or controls output from the oil fields in the contested areas. The other industries in the contested areas have also disappeared.

16. ISIL have now taken control of Ramadi. It can reach places as close as 20 km from Baghdad. Over 100,000 people have fled from Ramadi. These IDPs are being put into documentation centres by the Iraqi authorities and are required to prove who they are. IDPs are supported by local and international agencies as well as the Iraqi authorities. This is a significant burden on such agencies.

Under cross-examination

17. Dr Fatah maintained that the most unstable area of Iraq is the line of conflict south of the IKR border. He agreed: (i) that the violence in Mosul 'ebbs and flows'; (ii) that the categorisation of the level of violence in particular areas of Iraq identified in his reports (i.e. high, medium, low or less than low) was undertaken by reference to the number of civilian deaths and injuries in those areas; (iii) Baghdad has a population of between 6 and 7 million people; and, (iv) the population of an area is a relevant consideration in the assessment of the intensity of violence in such area. He further observed that it is attractive to an insurgent group to penetrate into Baghdad because there are areas, such as market places, in which thousands of people can be killed in one incident - thus creating fear and media attention, which they seek. Dr Fatah also accepted that there is an underlying level of criminality in Baghdad, much as there is in all major cities around the world. He was unaware of any figures relating to this.

18. Dr Fatah continued by confirming that ISIL has never been in control of Baghdad, but that they do have influence in some neighbourhoods. Baghdad has a majority Shia population, although there are Sunni areas - these being identified in his first report. The curfew in Baghdad was lifted on 7 February 2015. There was no consistent wave of violence as a consequence of the lifting of the curfew. Although there were incidents on 10 February 2015, these could not be linked to the lifting of the curfew.

19. Dr Fatah was asked whether he thought Landinfo to be a reputable and reliable organisation - he confirmed he did. He agreed that communications, transport, trade and industry go on functioning in Baghdad - as he said, "Life goes on." The roads in and to the south of Baghdad are not targeted by militia groups, but the checkpoints are.

20. Turning to the issue of documentation - if a person wishes to obtain a laissez-passer that person must convince the consulate of their nationality and identity. A person in the UK can use a family member or lawyer with a power of attorney in Iraq as a proxy in order to obtain identity documentation. For example, a family member or lawyer can attend court in Iraq on a person's behalf to confirm such a person's family record details.

21. Dr Fatah also said that if an individual had lost or wanted to renew his CSID in London, he would need to provide the Iraqi Embassy with the relevant reference numbers for his CSID before it would issue a replacement. He was specifically asked whether the parents of a person in London without a CSID could go to the Iraqi authorities, with their identity documentation, and obtain confirmation that the family record shows that they have a child and the date of the birth of such child. He saw no procedural problems with this. He cautioned, however, that it would be speculation to conclude that the consulate would necessarily accept the identity of a person in London as a consequence of production to them of the type of confirmation previously identified. The Iraqi family records confirm only that there is a person with such details.

22. The process and documents required to obtain CSID from the consulate in London is set out in the report of 27 February 2015 [paragraph 232 therein]. Notarised colour copies of a person's parents', or sibling's, documents would probably suffice to prove a person's identity - "It is necessary to prove who you are beyond reasonable doubt". Dr Fatah noted that if a person in the UK did not have a CSID and had no family in Iraq it would be possible for a friend of that person, with a CSID and a power of attorney, to go to court in Iraq and vouch for such person's identity.

23. Dr Fatah agreed that there is evidence of a 'central archive' in Baghdad - the issue is how comprehensive the archive is. The Kurdish authorities claim not to have sent any records to Baghdad since 1991.

24. As regards the IKR, there are flights there from Baghdad every second day and flights directly from London. Dr Fatah accepted that he had not interviewed anyone at Erbil airport when providing his opinion as to the requirements of entry into the IKR. He thought the imposition of entry requirements for the IKR to be arbitrary and dependent upon the person manning the entry point. He had spoken to an Iraqi national who had not been asked for a sponsor when travelling to the IKR in February/March 2015 but who had recently been informed that a sponsor was required. He believed that persons entering IKR to study require a sponsor and that Arabs are not wanted in the IKR - the UNHCR also agreed that single Arabs have problems entering the IKR. A Kurd from outside the IKR can obtain entry for 10 days as a visitor and then renew this for a further 10 days. If such a person finds employment they can remain for longer, although they will have to register with the authorities providing details of the employing company's name. A work permit can also be renewed, however, if a person loses their employment they will have to leave the IKR. Dr Fatah was not aware of whether the IKR authorities proactively remove Kurds from the IKR whose permits have come to an end.

Under re-examination

25. Dr Fatah averred that the ability to renew a visit permit for the IKR is event driven and dependent on the particular Asayish [2] officer considering the application. He did not think that the laissez-passer used by a person to return from the UK to Baghdad could be used for an onward trip to the IKR. The laissez-passer is a document valid for one trip and is likely to be taken by the authorities on arrival in Baghdad.

26. In response to questions from the Tribunal, Dr Fatah confirmed that on return to Iraq a current or expired Iraqi passport can be used to obtain a CSID.

27. Dr Fatah also said that in order to obtain a laissez-passer from the Iraqi consulate a person would need to demonstrate their nationality and identity and that consideration of the evidence would be on a case by case basis. He also said that he presumed that the individual would have to produce a photocopy of a previous passport and a report from the police confirming that it had been lost or stolen, a CSID or a nationality certificate. Landinfo, in its 2014 report, confirm the same. It would not be sufficient for an individual to simply provide the page and file number for his CSID.

28. After the hearing, and in response to questions raised by the Tribunal, Dr Fatah provided the following additional evidence by way of an e-mail dated 19 May 2015. He had visited Arbat IDP camp on the outskirts of Sulaymaniya in the KRG. The camp was divided according to ethnic and religious groups. It was expanding. The number of children was exceptionally high, there being 2300 families there. There were physical dangers in the camp such as a big pond with no barriers to protect the children. The camp is funded by local and international agencies. There is another camp in the same district housing Syrian refugees. As a consequence the public services in the area are under great pressure. The IDPs are not subject to the normal 'visa' requirements because they are controlled and registered with the Asayish. Entry and exit to the camp is controlled. IDPs are allowed to leave the camp to work, see friends and walk around. Dr Fatah understands that returned asylum seekers are not treated as IDPs.

29. Dr Fatah thereafter identified that USAID has provided evidence that each displaced family in Iraq is provided with one million Iraqi Dinar by the government unless the family is headed by a women over 35 in which case 500000 dinar is provided; single people receive 200000 Dinar. A CSID, INC or passport is required in order to register for these monies. Cash benefits are only provided to the head of household and family relationships must be documented. In the IKR IDPs need a copy of either their CSID, INC or passport in order to obtain a residency letter, without which the IDP may not be able to register for the monies or other services. IDPs are not permitted to travel within the IKR because residency cards are only applicable in the governorate of issue. All government procedures in the IKR are being delayed due to the large number of IDPs.

Amnesty International

30. Amnesty International also provided a report, dated 14th May 2015, which was written for the specific purposes of the instant case, and which made observations about the current situation in Iraq. In paragraphs 12 and 13 of its report Amnesty International state as follows regarding the information that led it to the conclusions summarised below:

"The information to be provided in this matter is sourced from Amnesty International's Iraq Team, part of the Middle East and North Africa Programme, which carries out research and advocacy work on countries in the region including Iraq. The Iraq Team consists of experienced research and campaigning staff who conduct research both in the field, where possible, and from AI's various offices. The Team receives information from a wide variety of sources. These sources include state and officially sanctioned, or permitted sources, such as online newspapers and state broadcasters; a wide range of websites and blogs; human rights activists, including lawyers and community workers and from detainees and their families. Other sources include journalists, refugees, diplomats, religious bodies and humanitarian agencies. The team monitor online news outlets and newspaper websites and other media outlets...

Amnesty's crisis senior researcher...has conducted on the ground research during the current crisis and documented a wide range of human rights abuses..."

31. In summary, Amnesty International concluded that: "[t]he areas held or contested by IS [3] contain very substantial dangers of killing and other human rights abuse of the utmost gravity, including torture and sexual violence. Baghdad city continues to be one of the most dangerous cities on earth, with mass-casualty terrorist incidents perpetrated both by IS supporters and armed militias, as well as kidnappings and murders by such militias against Sunnis, other minority groups and those perceived as likely to be worth ransom money". It expressed serious concern " at the prospect of Iraqis from the contested zones being returned to Iraq on the basis that it would be reasonable for them to relocate to Baghdad or the IKR."

32. The report noted in particular that "while Amnesty International had been expressing serious concerns regarding the human rights conditions in Iraq for many years, the events of the last year have rendered the country one of the most dangerous in the world". It added that "the rise of the armed group calling itself Islamic State (IS) across both Iraq and Syria has led to extraordinary levels of violence occurring across the country and on a daily basis". It then reviewed reports by the UNHCR, the US Institute for the Study of War and various newspapers relating to the areas in Iraq currently held by ISIL and added that it regarded the situation as highly volatile, fluid and subject to change at very short notice. Reference is made to Amnesty's own reports on the scale of human rights abuses by ISIL and the mass exodus of Shi'a Muslims, Christians and other minorities from the areas captured by ISIL. In particular, it noted that in September 2014 it was reported that "the group that calls itself the ISIL has carried out ethnic cleansing on a historic scale in northern Iraq". In addition it is noted that the UN Assistance Mission in Iraq had found evidence of numerous examples of targeted executions carried out by ISIL and the use of mass graves.

33. Amnesty International also observed that "IS operatives, supporters and allied groups (chiefly sectarian Sunni militia) have regularly perpetrated attacks [outside the contested areas], chiefly through the use of Vehicle Borne Improvised Explosive Devices (VBIED), Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDS), bombings, suicide bombings, mass shootings and targeted assassinations". A review was undertaken of the known statistics for the number of Iraqis killed and wounded in February 2015 and observation was made that Baghdad was the worst affected governorate with 1,165 civilian casualties. In addition, the report listed a variety of attacks in many areas of Baghdad in May 2015, which involved IEDs, VBIEDs, beheadings, shootings and rocket attacks - it being stated that "perpetrators appear to vary but include individuals resident in the city allied to IS or in sympathy with them, members of clandestine militia and terrorist groups; and sectarian militias and members or sympathisers of IS who succeed in entering the city from IS held territory". As a result, checkpoints have been set up around entrance points to Baghdad and militiamen at one such checkpoint told a person, whom they were unaware was a representative of Amnesty International, that "if we catch 'those dogs' [Sunnis] coming down from the Tikrit area we execute them; in those areas they are all working with DA'ESH (ISIL). They come to Baghdad to commit terrorist crimes. So we have to stop them." It also noted that it , "along with many other independent international observers, have documented for months the use of retaliatory and sectarian attacks by government forces and Shi'a militias against Iraq's Sunni population and other minority groups".

34. The report continues by noting that the Jamestown Foundation have provided an outline of the leading Shi'a militia groups currently operating in Iraq, which says that "it is estimated that close to a million volunteers answered Sistani's call [for Iraqis to form militias to fight ISIL] and signed up in the following weeks and months. Some of the most important militias under the Hashd al-Sha'abi include the Badr Organization, Saraya al-Salam, Asa'ib, Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba, Saraya Taleaa al-Khorasani and Kata'ib Imam Ali". It added that "Hashd al-Sha'abi is assisted by Iran via General Qasem Soleimani, the head of Iran's elite Quds Force, the overseas paramilitary wing of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps". In addition, it observed that "Hashd al-Sha'abi is funded by the Iraqi government, which not only provides the fighters' salaries but also its military capabilities". The report went on to identify that the Shi'a militias "were substantially responsible for preventing the complete overrun of Iraq by ISIL forces after the collapse of the Iraqi army in the summer of 2014. They have since been heavily engaged in the anti-ISIL fighting alongside ISF troops. However, they have also been documented to have engaged in large scale sectarian violence against Iraq's Sunni population both in areas outside of IS control and in recently 'liberated' areas". It is later observed that "while the rise of IS and the brutality of its behaviour has been widely documented in the international press, this concurrent rise in sectarian murder by Shi'a militias and Iraqi government forces has received less mainstream attention".

35. The report continues by identifying that there has been a "[p]attern of Shi'a militia attacks, justified by the perpetrators as retribution and retaliation for IS activities but frequently motivated by sectarian hatred and ordinary criminality, has continued" - subsequently adding that "[w]hile the majority of sectarian killing appears to be between the adherents to the Sunni and Shi'a Islamic faiths, Amnesty shares the concerns of many other international observers that sectarian violence appears to be spreading through other communities, as the ongoing conflict appears to be breaking down what remains of the inter-communal bonds within the Iraqi state as a whole."

Home Office Country Information

36. In paragraph 1.3.34 of its Country Information and Guidance - Iraq: the security situation in the 'contested' areas of Iraq (August 2014), 22/08/2014 it is concluded that the contested areas of Iraq, include Kirkuk, Diyala, Anbar, Salah al Din and Ninewah governorates and should be considered as areas of internal armed conflict for the purposes of any risk assessment . It is further stated that "although all cases must be considered on their individual merits, based on the current objective evidence, decision makers are advised that in the vast majority of cases, the combined individual and collective risk factors are such that return to a contested area would be in breach of Article 15 of the Qualification Directive and therefore a grant of Humanitarian Protection would be appropriate if internal relocation was not possible".

37. At paragraph 1.4.1 of its later Country Information note - Iraq: Internal relocation (and technical obstacles), 24/12/2014 the Home Office conclude that current return arrangements from the UK to Iraq, either via Erbil or Baghdad, do not breach Article 3 of the ECHR. However, at paragraph 1.4.3 thereof it also stated that "a person returned to Iraq who was unable to replace their Civil Status ID Card or Nationality Certificate would likely face significant difficulties in accessing services and a livelihood and would face destitution which is likely to reach the Article 3 threshold".

38. In its April 2015 guidance Iraq : Security situation in Baghdad, southern governorates and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, , the Home Office state that:

(i) The security situation has deteriorated in Baghdad, Babil, and the southern governorates, while the situation remains relatively stable in the IKR. However, the situation has not deteriorated to such an extent that it has reached a level where it can be said that in general the situation for ordinary civilians in these governorates breaches Article 15(c) of the Qualification Directive.

(ii) Decision makers should consider whether there are particular factors relevant to the person's individual circumstances which might nevertheless place them at enhanced risk, particularly in Baghdad and Babil governorates;

(iii) The security situation remains fluid and decision makers should take into account up-to-date country information in assessing the risks faced by applicants;

(iv) Internal relocation may be a viable option but only if the risk is not present in the place of relocation and it would not be unduly harsh to expect a person to relocate. Each case must be considered on its individual merits.

39. In relation to Baghdad in particular it is concluded that "there currently exists a state of internal armed conflict between ISIL and the Government of Iraq and its allies in Iraq, with the violence principally in northern, central and western areas of Iraq", and "although recent successes by Kurdish, GoI and US-Coalition forces have pushed back ISIL from territories it occupied in mid-2014 and degraded its military capabilities, ISIL remains in control of parts of the country, although not in Baghdad governorate. ISIL continues to perpetrate attacks in Baghdad governorate, with an ultimate goal of securing its so-called 'Caliphate state' in Iraq and Syria".

40. It further said that "there are a range of armed actors currently operating in Baghdad governorate, including Shiite and Sunni militias, extremist Islamic groups including ISIL, organised criminal gangs as well as Iraqi security forces. However, there were no reports that ISIL, or other Sunni extremist groups, exercise de facto control in any district of Baghdad City or Baghdad Governorate".

41. As to the southern governorates, it is opined that the security situation in the governorates of Basra, Kerbala, Najaf, Muthanna, Thi-Qar, Missan, Quadissiya and Wassit remained relatively stable in 2014 and that in general return there would not give rise to a breach of Article 15(c). Similarly, in relation to the IKR, it said that the security situation in the governorates of Erbil, Sulamaniyah and Dahuk was stable in 2014 with low levels of violence.

42. Finally in relation to Babil the Respondent concludes in her Country Information and Guidance titled 'Iraq: Security situation in Baghdad, southern governorates and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI)' that "there has been a deterioration in the security situation in Babil governorate since 2012 and 2013" and that "the government maintains control over the majority of the governorate, including the northern part of Babil around Jurf Al-Sakhr, which was previously an ISIL strong-hold from which it launched attacks on the surrounding area and manufactured car bombs. By the end of 2014 ISIL's presence in Jurf A-Sakhr had been cleared, with insurgents routed further north. This military success had improved the security situation considerably. However there remained a risk of further violence, both from renewed armed conflict and as a result of IEDs left behind by insurgents".

43. At paragraph 1.3.25 it is further said that " while levels of violence have increased in Babil compared to previous years, conditions have not deteriorated to the extent that a person returning there would face a breach of Article 15(c)". However, it adds that "while in general a return to Babil would not breach Article 15(c), decision makers must also consider whether there are particular factors relevant to the person's individual circumstances which might nevertheless place them at risk. Such factors include - but are not limited to - the person's age, gender, health, ethnicity, religion, sect, disability and profession. Some persons, especially those who reside in areas where they are a minority, may face a heightened risk of indiscriminate violence".

UNHCR's position paper

44. The UNHCR's view on returns to Iraq is set out in its position paper of 27 October 2014, the conclusion to which reads:

"[27] As the situation in Iraq remains highly fluid and volatile, and since all parts of the country are reported to have been affected, directly or indirectly, by the ongoing crisis, UNHCR urges States not to forcibly return persons originating from Iraq until tangible improvements in the security and human rights situation have occurred. In the current circumstances, many persons fleeing Iraq are likely to meet the 1951 Convention criteria for refugee status. When, in the context of an adjudication of an individual case of a person originating from Iraq, 1951 Convention criteria are found not to apply, broader refugee criteria as contained in the relevant regional instruments or complementary forms of protection are likely to apply. In the current circumstances, with massive new internal displacement coupled with a large scale humanitarian crisis, mounting sectarian tensions and reported access restrictions, particularly into the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, UNHCR does in principle not consider it appropriate for States to deny persons from Iraq international protection on the basis of applicability of an internal flight alternative or relocation alternative."

Existing Country Guidance

45. The core of the current country guidance relating to the circumstances in Iraq dates back to the decision in HM and Others (Article 15(c)) Iraq CG [2010] UKUT 331 (IAC) ("HM1") in which the Tribunal concluded (i) that enforced returns to Iraq could take place because the degree of indiscriminate violence did not reach such a high level in any part of Iraq so as to show substantial grounds for believing that any civilian returned there would face a real risk within the meaning of Article 15(c); and, (ii) even if such a risk were to be shown to exist in some areas of Iraq, internal relocation would achieve safety and would not in all circumstances be unduly harsh.

46. HM1 was successfully appealed to the Court of Appeal; however, the court did not consider it necessary to deal with any of the substantive grounds but rather allowed the appeal on purely procedural grounds. There then followed two further country guidance decisions relating to Iraq: MK (promulgated on 23 April 2012) and HM2 (promulgated on 23 November 2012).

47. The headnote to MK reads:

" (1) Since the lack of documentation relating to identity in the form of the Civil Status ID (CSID), Iraqi Nationality Certificate (INC) and Public Distribution System (PDS) card (food ration card) is not ordinarily an insuperable problem, it is not a factor likely to make return to any part of Iraq unsafe or unreasonable.

(a) The CSID is an important document, both in its own right and as a gateway to obtaining other significant documents such the INC and the PDS. An inability to replace the CSID is likely to entail inability to access the INC and PDS.

(b) Although the general position is that a person who wishes to replace a lost CSID is required to return to their home area in order to do so, there are procedures as described in this determination available which make it possible (i) for Iraqis abroad to secure the issue of a new CSID to them through the offices of the local Iraqi Embassy; (ii) for Iraqis returned to Iraq without a CSID to obtain one without necessarily having to travel to their home area. Such procedures permit family members to obtain such documentation from their home areas on an applicant's behalf or allow for a person to be given a power of attorney to obtain the same. Those who are unable immediately to establish their identity can ordinarily obtain documentation by being presented before a judge from the Civil Status Court, so as to facilitate return to their place of origin.

(2) (a) Entry into and residence in the KRG can be effected by any Iraqi national with a CSID, INC and PDS, after registration with the Asayish (local security office). An Arab may need a sponsor; a Kurd will not.

(b) Living conditions in the KRG for a person who has relocated there are not without difficulties, but there are jobs, and there is access to free health care facilities, education, rented accommodation and financial and other support from UNHCR.

(3) Despite bureaucratic difficulties with registration and the difficulties faced by IDPs, it is wrong to say that there is, in general, no internal flight alternative in Iraq, bearing in mind in particular the levels of governmental and NGO support available.

(4) Whilst the situation for women in Iraq is, in general, not such as to give rise to a real risk of persecution or serious harm, there may be particular problems affecting female headed households where family support is lacking and jobs and other means of support may be harder to come by. Careful examination of the particular circumstances of the individual's case will be especially important."

48. In HM2 the Tribunal concluded as follows:

i. "Whilst the focus of the present decision is the current situation in Iraq, nothing in the further evidence now available indicates that the conclusions that the Tribunal in HM1 reached about country conditions in Iraq were wrong.

ii. As regards the current situation, the evidence does not establish that the degree of indiscriminate violence characterising the current armed conflict taking place in the five central governorates in Iraq, namely Baghdad, Diyala, Tameen (Kirkuk), Ninewah, Salah Al-Din, is at such a high level that substantial grounds have been shown for believing that any civilian returned there would solely on account of his presence there face a real risk of being subject to that threat.

iii. Nor does the evidence establish that there is a real risk of serious harm under Article 15(c) for civilians who are Sunni or Shi'a or Kurds or have former Ba'ath Party connections: these characteristics do not in themselves amount to "enhanced risk categories" under Article 15(c)'s "sliding scale" (see [39] of Elgafaji).

iv. Further evidence that has become available since the Tribunal heard MK (documents - relocation) Iraq CG [2012] UKUT 126 (IAC) does not warrant any departure from its conclusions on internal relocation alternatives in the KRG or in central or southern Iraq save that the evidence is now sufficient to establish the existence of a Central Archive maintained by the Iraqi authorities retaining civil identity records on microfiche, which provides a further way in which a person can identify themselves and obtain a copy of their CSID, whether from abroad or within Iraq.

v. Regarding the issue of whether there would be a risk of treatment contrary to Article 3 ECHR arising from returns from the UK to Baghdad International Airport (BIAP):

a. If a national of Iraq who has failed to establish that conditions inside Iraq are unsafe is compulsorily returned to Baghdad International Airport (BIAP) on either a current or expired Iraqi passport, there is no real risk of detention in the course of BIAP procedures (except possibly in respect of those who are the subject of a judicial order or arrest warrant). Nor is there such a risk if such a person chooses to make a voluntary return with a laissez passer document which can be issued by the Iraqi embassy in the UK.

b. If, however, such a person is compulsorily returned to BIAP without either a current or expired Iraqi passport, he may be at risk of detention in the course of BIAP procedures and it cannot be excluded that the detention conditions might give rise to a real risk of treatment contrary to Article 3 ECHR. Such a risk is however, purely academic in the UK context because under the current UK returns policy there will be no compulsory return of persons lacking such documents."

49. The decisions in HM2 and MK were both the subject of appeal to the Court of Appeal, being heard together and referenced as HF (Iraq) and others [2013] EWCA Civ 1276. The appeals against the decisions in HM2 were dismissed and although the court allowed the appeal against the decision in MK it rejected the arguments directed at the country guidance set out therein.

The Submissions - A Summary

50. The parties submitted detailed skeleton arguments, which we summarise below. Each supplemented their skeleton argument with oral submissions.

Appellant's skeleton argument

51. In his skeleton argument Mr Bazini observed the Respondent's acceptance that the "contested areas of Iraq should be considered as meeting the circumstances of internal armed conflict". As a consequence, he identified the core issue before the Tribunal to be that of internal relocation from the contested areas to either Baghdad or to the Iraqi Kurdish Region.

52. It is said that the situation in Baghdad represents an Article 15(c) risk for an ordinary civilian; there being an enhanced risk for: (i) persons without established connections to Baghdad; (ii) Kurds; and, (iii) Christians. There is no established Kurdish neighbourhood in Baghdad.

53. It was asserted that a pivotal issue in the assessment of whether it is reasonable for an Iraqi national to relocate is whether such person has Iraqi identity documents; a CSID being the gateway to other important documentation such an Iraqi Nationality Certificate ("INC") and a Public Distribution System ("PDS") card. Without a CSID it is not possible for a person to access either services or a livelihood.

54. Reference is made to Dr Fatah's report of 27 February 2015 to the steps required to obtain a new CSID by a person living outside of Iraq. It is said that this includes the need to provide the reference number of a lost CSID. An original CSID and INC are required to obtain an Iraqi passport. Applications to obtain a laissez-passer are, and have been since November 2014, assessed on a case-by-case basis.

55. A person cannot be expected to travel from Baghdad to their home area in order to obtain a CSID and other documents, if the home area is a contested area. Evidence set out in Dr Fatah's addendum report of 1 May 2015 identifies the difficulties that will be met by a person seeking to obtain a replacement CSID and/or INC in Baghdad, if that person is not from Baghdad.

56. As to internal relocation to Baghdad, it was submitted that this governorate is statistically the most violent, there having been an increase in violence in the governorate in 2014 and early 2015. A person "will struggle" in Baghdad if not an Arabic speaker and if he/she has no social network to assist in accessing employment and housing.

57. It was further asserted that if a person is returned to Erbil in the IKR and that person is not from the IKR, then such person will not be allowed to exit the airport absent production of a CSID and INC. In any event the IKR authorities do not allow persons from the disputed territories to transfer a food ration card to the IKR. Without a CSID and INC a person will have difficulties in accessing services provided by the state and its partners, in addition it is IKR policy to maintain as much Kurdish presence as possible in the disputed territories so as to strengthen its claim to those areas. There are other 'elements' which also govern the authorities entry policy to the IKR: (i) "Event driven nature" - there being greater difficulties faced by single travellers because of the conflict and restrictions have also been put in place to stem the flow of IDPs, (ii) "Ethno-religious nature" - members of particular communities (such as Sunni Arabs) being tarred by association with ISIL and (iii) "Arbitrary nature" - policies applied at checkpoints are unpredictable. In any event, unemployment is high in IKR and IDPs struggle to find work, public sector salaries are not being paid and there has been a suspension of investment in economic projects.

58. As regards the Appellant, he will not be able to obtain identity documentation in Baghdad and, in any event, he cannot access food rations there because these can only be accessed in the home governorate or by returning to the home governorate and transferring access elsewhere.

Appellant's oral submissions

59. Mr Bazini observed that the Appellant has been found to come from Dubis in the Kirkuk Governorate, which is now one of the contested areas. He accepted that the Immigration Judge had found that there was no reliable evidence that the Appellant's mother and siblings had left Iraq and, also, that the Appellant had a cousin based in Kirkuk. He submitted, however, that given the change of circumstances in Kirkuk since the date of the judge's determination it is now reasonably likely that the Appellant's family members are not in Iraq, are not contactable and would not be able to assist him.

60. Mr Bazini commended to us the inclusive approach to Article 15(c) adopted by the Tribunal in HM2; observing the Tribunal's reference at [271] to the need for a qualitative as well as a quantitative approach when assessing the levels of indiscriminative violence in Iraq. He further alluded to the Tribunal's identification that "one aspect of the inclusive approach is an appreciation that there are threats to the physical safety and integrity of civilians beyond those measured in the civilian casualty rate" at [114] - submitting that the situation in Iraq is now very different to that referred to in HM2, with much of the violence aimed at civilians in order to bring about fear in the community.

61. It was further submitted that the appeal should not be determined on the basis that a person would be returning to Iraq with a CSID, or the necessary documentation to obtain one, because to do so would not be consistent with the proper application of Article 8 of the Qualification Directive.

62. He continued by submitting that Sunnis had been pushed to the west of Baghdad and are at greater risk. There is no established Kurdish community in Baghdad, making Kurds vulnerable. There had been a rapid increase in the level of indiscriminate violence in Iraq and the economic growth rate had dropped by 2.4 or 2.6% - the drop in oil prices being significant. As a consequence, IDPs are facing shortages of food, accommodation and medical care.

63. As to the issue of re-documentation, it was said that little was known about the Central Archive in Baghdad, including how long it would take to obtain documentation from there; if indeed it can be obtained at all. Reference was made to evidence provided by UNHCR-Iraq cited in Dr Fatah's second report [paragraph 144 therein] - it being observed that as many as 45% of IDPs surveyed reported that at least one family member was missing their CSID, and that 48% were missing their INC. Only 10% of persons missing documents had tried to replace them in their area of displacement, with 35% successfully doing so. It was suggested by Mr Bazini that it should be inferred from this evidence that it is not easy to replace missing status documents.

64. The Tribunal's attention was thereafter drawn to passages in Dr Fatah's reports in furtherance of the submission that it is difficult for IDPs to obtain new status documents. In relation to the Central Archive, it was observed that there was no information regarding how the archive works, how many people work in the archive office, the output of the office, the success rate of those seeking documents from there and how the need to obtain information from the contested areas might hinder their work.

65. Assuming that the Appellant is able to obtain a CSID from Baghdad the process of doing so would, suggested Mr Bazini, take over a month. He submitted that in such circumstances the situation the Appellant would be living in prior to receipt of the CSID would amount to a breach of Article 3. There was very little evidence about what the Appellant would be entitled to under the Assisted Voluntary Return scheme. The leaflet produced by the Secretary of State indicated only that a person may be entitled to support and assistance and does not explain how the money had to be spent. It was also observed that Dr Fatah had confirmed that the Appellant would need $800 - $1,000 a month to stay in a hotel or to rent a room

66. Neither the UNHCR nor Amnesty International support the possibility of internal relocation in Iraq. The security situation in Baghdad is poor. The percentage of the population injured or killed in governorates other than Baghdad is generally lower than in Baghdad. Amnesty International are of the opinion that Baghdad is very dangerous. ISIL are only 70 km from Baghdad and the population are living in fear. Abductions occur throughout the city. Kurds receive threats from Shi'a militias.

67. Turning to the IKR, the Tribunal's attention was drawn to evidence provided by Dr Fatah to the effect that food prices and the cost of living had increased in the IKR, civil servants salaries had not been paid for a month there and there are 3 million IDPs in temporary shelters. The aid agencies only have limited funds. The conditions for an IDP in the IKR are unduly harsh.

Respondent's skeleton argument

68. The Respondent accepts that the overall security situation in Iraq has deteriorated since HM2. Mr Blundell summarised the Respondent's position on the issue of whether an Article 15(c) risk exists in Iraq in the following terms

(i) There currently exists a state of internal armed conflict between the GoI and ISIL, with violence principally in the northern, central and western areas of the country;

(ii) In parts of Anbar, Diyala, Kirkuk (Tameen), Ninewah and Salah Al-din governorates, which are occupied by ISIL or where there is open conflict between GoI and ISIL (the contested areas), the Respondent accepts that Article 15(c) would apply to a civilian with no distinguishing characteristics ("an ordinary civilian") simply by virtue of his/her presence there;

(iii) In Babil governorate, the security situation has deteriorated but not to such an extent that an ordinary civilian would face an Article 15(c) risk there;

(iv) In the governorates of Basra, Kerbala, Najaf, Muthana, Thi-Qar, Missan, Qadissiya and Wassit ("the southern governorates"), the security situation has remained relatively stable and would not be sufficient to demonstrate an Article 15(c) risk for an ordinary civilian:

(v) In Baghdad city and Baghdad governorate the security situation has deteriorated but not to such an extent that an ordinary civilian, merely on account of his presence there, would face an Article 15(c) risk; and,

(vi) The situation in the IKR remains stable and does not engage Article 15(c).

(vii) Status as a Sunni, Shia or Kurd is not, of itself, sufficient to give rise to an Article 15(c) risk in any of the governorates in which there is otherwise no Article 15(c) risk for ordinary civilians.

69. As regards internal relocation to Baghdad for those who can demonstrate an Article 15(c) risk in their home area, the Respondent submits as follows in relation to the security situation in Baghdad:

(i) There is a 0.05% civilian death rate, 0.12% civilian injury rate and, therefore, a 0.17% civilian casualty rate in Baghdad. These figures do not indicate a serious risk for an ordinary civilian;

(ii) There has been a significant net migration of 260,000 persons into Baghdad by displaced persons - the evidence demonstrating that Sunnis in particular are moving to the capital. This is a strong indication that, from the perspective of Iraqis, the security situation in Baghdad is not seen as posing a risk of serious harm;

(iii) The night time curfew in Baghdad has recently been lifted, thus supporting the fact that there is no Article 15(c) risk there;

(iv) The evidence confirms that no particular groups are at risk in Baghdad and there are no particular hotspots;

(v) To the extent that there are incidents of violence in Baghdad governorate, the situation in Baghdad city is more stable than in the surrounding Baghdad Belts. The attacks in Baghdad city are of a more limited nature than those in the suburbs.

(vi) The situation in Baghdad Belts does not engage Article 15(c), although it is accepted that it does carry a higher risk than the city itself.

70. At paragraph 50 of the skeleton argument, the Respondent reproduces the following passage from her December 2014 Guidance Note:

" A person returned to Iraq who was unable to replace their Civil Status ID Card or Nationality Certificate would be likely to face significant difficulties in accessing services and a livelihood and would face destitution which is likely to reach the Article 3 threshold."

71. The Respondent further identifies that returns to Baghdad will only take place if a person has either a current passport, expired passport or a laissez-passer, which will involve pre-clearance with the Iraqi authorities and hence confirmation of Iraqi identity. The Tribunal's attention was thereafter drawn to the December 2014 Country Information Guidance Note on Iraq.

72. On the issue of the existence of a Central Archive in Baghdad, the Respondent agrees that Dr Fatah's third report provides a fair summary of the position. It is possible in certain circumstances to obtain replacement civil documentation in Baghdad. There are two alternative offices for civil status affairs - in Baghdad and Najaf - where IDPs from Mosul, Anbar and Salahaddin can obtain replacement documentation. An individual appellant would have to demonstrate why they did not have their documents, how they were able to leave Iraq without them and why they had been unable to reacquire these documents from the UK. It is asserted, however, that consideration of the position of 'undocumented returns' is academic because a person will be returned to Baghdad with a passport, expired passport, or laissez-passer - the latter requiring a person's identity to be proven to the Iraqi consulate before it is issued.

73. The Respondent's position on internal relocation to the IKR is as set out at paragraphs 1.3.58 to 1.3.61 of the December CIG i.e. that it is not unreasonable or unduly harsh for persons originating from outside the IKR to internally relocate there. Persons of Kurdish ethnicity do not require a sponsor to enter the IKR and would not be perceived as a security risk. It is accepted that where a person has no established links to the IKR and is of Arab or Turkmen ethnic origin, internal relocation will be difficult even if identity documents are in order. A sponsor may be required and entry may be refused due to security concerns.

74. In relation to the Appellant, the Respondent accepted that there would be an Article 15(c) risk to him in the Kirkuk region but submitted that it would not be unreasonable for him to relocate to either Baghdad, the southern governorates or the IKR.

Respondent's oral submissions

75. The concession made in the Respondent's skeleton argument as to the Article 15(c) risk to ordinary persons in the contested areas was maintained.

76. Mr Blundell submitted that when considering whether an Article 15(c) risk arose in areas other than the 'contested areas', the Tribunal's focus should be on the intensity of the violence. Whilst accepting that the Tribunal's approach must be holistic/inclusive he asserted that the data relating to the numbers of civilians injured or killed should serve as a "gateway" to such an analysis. Reliance was placed on the Court of Appeal's decision in QD (Iraq) v Secretary of State for the Home Department (United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees intervening) [2009] EWCA Civ 620 at [21] in this regard.

77. The Respondent accepted that the security situation in Iraq has deteriorated recently, but observed that the current level of violence is nowhere near the peak in 2006-7, nor is it anything like the level of violence that exists in Syria. It was further noted that the curfew in Baghdad had recently been lifted and that Dr Fatah had accepted that there had not been any wave of violence as a consequence. There is not an Article 15(c) risk within Baghdad city or the Baghdad Belts. Dr Fatah agreed that ISIL were not in control of Baghdad and that, although fighting was more pronounced in the Baghdad Belts, it could not operate there or exert influence there because there was so much military opposition to it.

78. Mr Blundell thereafter accepted that there were no specific Kurdish areas in Baghdad but, nevertheless, asserted that it would still be reasonable to expect a person of Kurdish origin to relocate there.

79. As to documentation, it was confirmed that the Iraqi authorities would only grant entry to a person returned to Baghdad if that person is in possession of a laissez-passer, a current Iraqi passport or an expired Iraqi passport. Dr Fatah accepted that if a person were returned with a passport or expired passport these could be used to obtain a CSID. If a person were to be returned on a laissez-passer that person would either have a CSID or have the sort of documents required to get one, because it would have been necessary for such person to produce these documents to obtain the laissez-passer. A CSID can be obtained from the UK. It was said that in such circumstances the Tribunal should consider the appeal on the hypothetical basis that the Appellant will have a CSID upon return. In any event, there is a Central Archive in Baghdad that can issue documentation.

80. Mr Blundell submitted that the evidence demonstrates that a majority of IDPs in Baghdad live with family members there. Returnees receive assistance under the Voluntary Assisted Return and Reintegration Programme ('VARRP'). A 'Start Card' containing the first £500 [of a possible maximum of £1,500], is provided at the airport as the returnee leaves. This can be used to withdraw the £500 from a bank machine upon return. The rest of the funds can usually be accessed through partner organisations in the country of return, who will use it to give the returnee support and assistance after he or she returns. It was submitted that the Appellant could use this money to obtain accommodation on his return; if need be, in any period prior to obtaining a CSID and other papers, the Appellant could rely on Iraqi and international assistance. Life goes on in Baghdad and it is not unreasonable for a person to internally relocate there.

81. Returns from the UK to the IKR take place on EU letters. A person not originally from the IKR would not be returned there. Returnees are pre-cleared with the IKR authorities. Identity is assured in advance.

82. As to the instant appellant, he would be returned to Baghdad. He could fly from Baghdad to Erbil and would not require a sponsor to enter given his Kurdish ethnicity. He has family in Iraq who could assist in the re-documentation process. It should not be assumed that they have moved on or that they cannot be contacted.

Article 15(c) of the Qualification Directive

Legal Framework

83. Article 15 of the Directive provides as follows:

"Serious harm consists of

(a) death penalty or execution;

(b) torture or inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment of an Applicant in the country of origin; and

(c) serious and individual threat to a civilian's life or person by reason of indiscriminate violence in situations of international or internal armed conflict."

84. Article 15 is applied by Article 2(e) of the Directive which defines a person eligible for subsidiary protection as:

"... a third country national or stateless person who does not qualify as a refugee but in respect of whom substantial grounds have been shown for believing that the person concerned, if returned to his or her country of origin ... would face a real risk of suffering serious harm as defined in Article 15 ... and is unable, or, owing to such risk unwilling to avail himself or herself of the protection of the country."

85. Paragraph 339C of the Immigration Rules HC 395 ("the Immigration Rules") gives effect to Article 15(c) in domestic law, providing as follows:

"339C. A person will be granted humanitarian protection in the United Kingdom if the Secretary of State is satisfied that:

(i) he is in the United Kingdom or has arrived at a port of entry in the United Kingdom;

(ii) he does not qualify as a refugee as defined in regulation 2 of The Refugee or Person in Need of International Protection (Qualification) Regulations 2006;

(iii) substantial grounds have been shown for believing that the person concerned, if he returned to the country of return, would face a real risk of suffering serious harm and is unable, or, unwilling to avail himself of the protection of that country; and

(iv) he is not excluded from a grant of humanitarian protection.

Serious harm consists of:

(i) the death penalty of execution;

(ii) unlawful killing;

(iii) torture or inhumane or degrading treatment or punishment of a person in the country of return; or

(iv) serious and individual threat to a civilian's life or person by reason of indiscriminate violence in situations of international and internal armed conflict."

86. The Court of Justice of the European Union ("CJEU"), the Court of Appeal and the Upper Tribunal have given extensive consideration to Article 15(c) of the Directive and we gratefully adopt the summary of learning to be derived therefrom set out by the Upper Tribunal in its recent country guidance case on returns to Somalia - MOJ & Ors (return to Mogadishu) Somalia CG [2014] UKUT 442 (IAC) at [30] - [33]:

"30. ...There are now two decisions of the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU) which deal with Article 15(c): Case (C-465/07) Elgafaji v Staatssecretaris van Justitie [2009] 1 WLR 2100, and Case (C-285/12) Diakite v Commissaire general aux refugies [2014] WLR(D) 37... [4];

31. In Elgafaji, the ECJ construed Article 15(c) as dealing with a more general risk of harm than that covered by 15(a) and (b).

The essence of the Court's ruling in Elgafaji was:

'43. Having regard to all of the foregoing considerations, the answer to the questions referred is that Article 15(c) of the Directive, in conjunction with Article 2(e) of the Directive, must be interpreted as meaning that: the existence of a serious and individual threat to the life or person of an applicant for subsidiary protection is not subject to the condition that that applicant adduce evidence that he is specifically targeted by reason of factors particular to his personal circumstances; the existence of such a threat can exceptionally be considered to be established where the degree of indiscriminate violence characterising the armed conflict taking place assessed by the competent national authorities before which an application for subsidiary protection is made, or by the courts of a Member State to which a decision refusing such an application is referred reaches such a high level that substantial grounds are shown for believing that a civilian, returned to the relevant country or, as the case may be, to the relevant region, would, solely on account of his presence on the territory of that country or region, face a real risk of being subject to that threat.'

32. In Diakite, the Court, having provided a definition of internal armed conflict at [28], reaffirmed in [30] its view that for civilians as such to qualify for protection under Article 15(c) they would need to demonstrate that indiscriminate violence was at a high level:

'30 . Furthermore, it should be borne in mind that the existence of an internal armed conflict can be a cause for granting subsidiary protection only where confrontations between a State's armed forces and one or more armed groups or between two or more armed groups are exceptionally considered to create a serious and individual threat to the life or person of an applicant for subsidiary protection for the purposes of Article 15(c) of Directive 2004/83 because the degree of indiscriminate violence which characterises those confrontations reaches such a high level that substantial grounds are shown for believing that a civilian, if returned to the relevant country or, as the case may be, to the relevant region, would - solely on account of his presence in the territory of that country or region - face a real risk of being subject to that threat (see, to that effect, Elgafaji, paragraph 43).'

At [31] the Court reaffirmed the view it expressed in Elgafaji at [39] that Article 15(c) also contains (what UNHCR has termed) a "sliding scale" such that "the more the applicant is able to show that he is specifically affected by reason of factors particular to his personal circumstances, the lower the level of indiscriminate violence required for him to be eligible for subsidiary protection." The Court thereby recognised that a person may still be accorded protection even when the general level of violence is not very high if they are able to show that there are specific reasons, over and above them being mere civilians, for being affected by the indiscriminate violence. In this way the Article 15(c) inquiry is two-pronged: (a) it asks whether the level of violence is so high that there is a general risk to all civilians; (b) it asks that even if there is not such a general risk, there is a specific risk based on the "sliding-scale" notion.

33. In the United Kingdom, the principal decision of the higher courts dealing with Article 15(c) remains QD (Iraq) v Secretary of State for the Home Departmen t [2011] 1 WLR 689 . QD helpfully explains and indicates how Elgafaji should be applied. In addition we have the guidance set out in HM and others (Article 15(c) Iraq CG [2012] UKUT 409 (IAC). At [42]-[45] of HM (Iraq) the Tribunal stated that:

'42. We recognise that the threat to life or person of an individual need not come directly from armed conflict. It will suffice that the result of such conflict is a breakdown of law and order which has the effect of creating the necessary risk. It is obvious that the risk is most likely to result from indiscriminate bombings or shootings. These can properly be regarded as indiscriminate in the sense that, albeit they may have specific or general targets, they inevitably expose the ordinary civilian who happens to be at the scene to what has been described in argument as collateral damage. By specific targets, we refer to individuals or gatherings of individuals such as army or police officers. The means adopted may be bombs, which can affect others besides the target, or shootings, which produce a lesser but nonetheless real risk of collateral damage. By general targets we refer to more indiscriminate attacks on, for example, Sunnis or Shi'as or vice versa. Such attacks can involve explosions of bombs in crowded places such as markets or where religious processions or gatherings are taking place.

43. The CJEU requires us to decide whether the degree of indiscriminate violence characterising the armed conflict taking place reaches such a high level as to show the existence for an ordinary civilian of a real risk of serious harm in the country or in a particular region. When we refer below to the "Article 15(c) threshold", this is what we have in mind. Thus it is necessary to assess whether the level of violence is such as to meet the test...

44. In HM1 at [73] the Tribunal decided that an attempt to distinguish between a real risk of targeted and incidental killing of civilians during armed conflict was not a helpful exercise. We agree, but in assessing whether the risk reaches the level required by the CJEU, focus on the evidence about the numbers of civilians killed or wounded is obviously of prime importance. Thus we have been told that each death can be multiplied up to seven times when considering injuries to bystanders. This is somewhat speculative and it must be obvious that the risk of what has been called collateral damage will differ depending on the nature of the killing. A bomb is likely to cause far greater "collateral damage" than an assassination by shooting. But the incidence and numbers of death are a helpful starting point.

45. The harm in question must be serious enough to merit medical treatment. It is not limited to physical harm and can include serious mental harm such as, for example, post-traumatic stress disorder. We repeat and adopt what the Tribunal said in HM1 at [80]:

"In our judgment the nexus between the generalised armed conflict and the indiscriminate violence posing a real risk to life or person is met when the intensity of the conflict involves means of combat (whether permissible under the laws of war or not) that seriously endanger non-combatants as well as result in such a general breakdown of law and order as to permit anarchy and criminality occasioning the serious harm referred to in the Directive. Such violence is indiscriminate in effect even if not necessarily in aim. As the French Conseil d'Etat observed in Baskarathas, it is not necessary for the threat to life or person to derive from protagonists in the armed conflict in question: it can simply be a product of the breakdown of law and order." ' "

Article 15(c) - Discussion and Conclusions

87. As identified above, the instant appeal was remitted by the Court of Appeal to the Upper Tribunal for reconsideration under Article 15(c) of the Qualification Directive. The burden of proof rests on the Appellant, albeit the standard of proof is low.

88. Given that this is a Country Guidance decision, and is restricted to consideration of Article 15(c), it is prudent first to reiterate the following observation made by this Tribunal in HM2:

"260. Our primary focus in these appeals is strictly confined to Article 15(c) of the Qualification Directive, and a discrete issue relating to risk on return to BIAP. However, since this case deals with the current situation in Iraq it will inevitably be a reference point for decision-makers deciding asylum-related appeals brought by Iraqis that are not confined to the Article 15(c) issue. In this context we would reiterate the observations made recently by the Tribunal in AK (Afghanistan) at [154]-[156] that in the general run of appeals decision-makers should ordinarily deal first with the issue of refugee eligibility and only deal with the issue of subsidiary protection (including Article 15(c)) second. They should not deal with Article 3 until last."

89. Both parties accepted that we should take an inclusive approach to our consideration of Article 15(c). This was the approach adopted by the Tribunal in both HM1 and HM2 as well as in numerous other country guidance decisions of this Tribunal. We remind ourselves that such an approach requires an analysis of the violence that is both qualitative and quantitative and is not to be restricted to a purely quantitative analysis of the number of civilian deaths and injuries in Iraq, or in any particular governorate within Iraq. The list of factors relevant to such an analysis is non-exhaustive but includes within them the conduct, and relevant strength, of the parties to the conflict (see, for example, AK (Article 15(c)) Afghanistan CG [2012] UKUT 163 at [163]), the number of civilian deaths and injuries; including psychological injuries caused by the conflict, the level of displacement and the geographical scope of the conflict.

90. Turning to the evidence, we found Dr Fatah to be an impressive and authoritative witness. He demonstrated extensive knowledge of the circumstances in Iraq and sought, wherever possible, to provide multiple sources for the evidence he provided, which was to a large extent consistent with the other materials placed before us. When giving oral evidence he clearly identified those parts of his evidence which called for speculation on his part. In all the circumstances we attach significant weight to Dr Fatah's evidence.

91. The landscape in Iraq has undoubtedly changed since HM2 was heard in October 2012, with the rise of the ISIL - the main insurgent group now operating in the country. This group was established by the Jordanian national Abu Musab al-Zarqawi in 1999 - originally being known as Jama'at al-Tawhid wal-Jihad. In October 2004 it became known as Al-Qaeda in Iraq and was identified as such by the Tribunal in HM2.

92. In April 2013 its current leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, changed the group's name to Al-Dawla Al-Islamiya fi al-Iraq wa al-Sham - the "Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham"; al-Sham referring to an undefined region around Syria which translates into English as "The Levant"- thus the use of the acronym ISIL [5].

93. In June 2014, after a major military offensive, ISIL seized control of the northern city of Mosul and shortly thereafter declared the existence of an Islamic State across parts of northern Iraq and Syria.

94. The UNHCR, in its October 2014 report "UNHCR Positions on Returns to Iraq" summarised the situation thus:

"Iraq has experienced a new surge in violence between Iraqi security forces (ISF) and Kurdish forces (Peshmerga) on the one hand and the group "Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham" (hereafter ISIS), which operates both in Iraq and Syria, and affiliated armed groups on the other hand. Civilians are killed and wounded every day as a result of this surge of violence, including suicide attacks and car bombs, shelling, airstrikes, and executions. As a result of advances by ISIS, the Government of Iraq is reported to have lost full or partial control over considerable parts of the country's territory, particularly in Al-Anbar, Ninewa, Salah Al-Din, Kirkuk and Diyala governorates. Although the ISF and Kurdish forces, supported by US airstrikes, have recently regained control over some localities, mostly along the internal boundaries with the Kurdistan Region, overall frontlines remain fluid. The conflict, which re-escalated in Al Anbar governorate in January 2014 and since then spread to other governorates, has been labelled as a non-international armed conflict. Casualties so far in 2014 represent the highest total since the height of sectarian conflict in 2006-2007."

95. The objectives of ISIL, so far as they can be ascertained, are threefold:

(a) To permanently break down political boundaries in Iraq, Syria and the surrounding region;

(b) To establish the Islamic Emirate by controlling terrain across Syria and Iraq, governing within the terrain and defending its external borders; and,

96. ISIL is said to have significant financial resources, with funding from individuals in Arab Gulf states, together with income from oil fields it controls and from smuggling and extortion (BBC, 30 June 2014)

97. Dr Fatah observes that in addition to ISIL there are four other anti-GoI groups operating in Iraq; the Jaysh Rijal al-Tariq al-Naqshabandi (JRTN) movement, the Mujahideen Shura Council, the Revolutionary tribes and Ansar al-Sunni. He also avers that there are eight pro-GoI Shia militia groups and four pro-GoI Sunni militia groups operating in Iraq - as well as a number of foreign forces.

98. The evidence provides a range of figures for deaths and casualties in Iraq during 2014 and early 2015. Before summarising those statistics we sound the same note of caution as was sounded in both HM1 [117] and HM2 [107] in seeking to rely on any particular survey:

"Because the estimates of Iraqi casualties contained in this report are based on varying time periods and have been created using different methodologies, readers should exercise caution when using them and should look to them as guideposts rather than as statements of fact."

99. Iraq Body Count, whose figures Dr Fatah relies upon and were found by the Tribunal in HM2 to be most reliable because of their multiple sourcing [110], record that 17,049 civilians were killed in Iraq during 2014, this being almost double the figure for 2013, which itself was roughly double the figure recorded for 2012. As of 18 February 2015, Iraq Body Count (IBC) had recorded 2,245 civilians deaths in 2015. According to IBC, civilian deaths peaked in 2006 and 2007 at 29400 and 25968 deaths respectively.

100. The GoI record 15,538 civilian deaths in 2014, the United Nations Assistance Mission in Iraq (UNAMI) record 12,282 such deaths (April 2015 CIG) or 10,187 (Dr Fatah's first report) and Musings on Iraq record 17,098 deaths, both over the same period. The number of civilian casualties recorded by the same organisations ranged from 22,000 (GoI) to 26,590 (Musing on Iraq). IBC broke down its record of civilian deaths into three categories - 1,748 deaths caused by Iraqi airstrikes, 4,325 at the hands of ISIL and 10,858 deaths where it was not possible to establish which of the 'actors' were involved.

The Contested Areas - the governorates of Anbar, Diyala, Kirkuk (aka Ta'min), Ninewah and Salah Al-din

101. The contested area is formed of the governorates listed above to the north and west of Baghdad, excluding those in the IKR.

102. We need say little about the situation for ordinary civilians in the contested areas, given the concession made by the Respondent. It is enough for us to identify that the security situation in these areas remains volatile. Following its offensive in June 2014 ISIL took occupation of significant parts of these areas; however, the GoI and its allies subsequently retook a number or towns/areas within these governorates. Nevertheless, ISIL still holds control of key urban areas and on the day prior to the hearing of this appeal took occupation of the strategic town of Ramadi, in the Anbar governorate - 70 miles west of Baghdad.

103. Life in the areas controlled by ISIL is characterised by systematic and widespread acts of violence and gross violations of international humanitarian law and abuses of human rights. Among ISIL victims in areas under its control are those Sunni Muslims who refuse to live by its rules. In its attempts to gain increased occupation of the contested areas ISIL has directly targeted civilians and civilian infrastructures. Although figures for the civilian deaths and injuries in the contested areas have been put before us, we accept the rationality of Amnesty International's view on such statistics i.e. that "it is difficult to establish the true scale of killings and abductions that ISIS have committed...Accurate casualty figures are very hard to come by for all areas of Iraq, owing to the nature of the conflict and the risks faced by investigators." Whilst we accept this is likely to be true country-wide, it must be particularly so within the areas of ISIL control; given the obvious difficulties of accessing the contested areas and thereafter risks in identifying and logging the security incidents.

104. In its May 2015 report Amnesty International record that after re-taking Tikrit from ISIL, Shia militias looted, killed and perpetrated sexual violence against the Sunni residents of the town; actions also reported by Agence France Press.

105. The volatility of the contested areas has led to there being a "massive flow of internal refugees" [Landinfo - February 2015] from these areas to Baghdad. According to the Home Office April 2015 CIG, the International Organisation for Migration Displacement Tracking Index ("DTM") for March 2015 recorded Baghdad as hosting 325,692 displaced individuals. There was also displacement from the contested areas into the IKR.

106. Given the volatility of the situation in the contested areas, the number of displaced persons therefrom, the tactics of warfare used there by ISIL and the circumstances in the areas controlled by ISIL, we have no hesitation in endorsing the Respondent's concession and conclude that a civilian with no distinguishing characteristics will, simply by virtue of his/her presence in a contested area, be at real risk of suffering harm of the type identified in Article 15(c) of the Qualification Directive.

Babil

107. Babil governorate is located directly to the South of Baghdad, sharing the extreme north of its border with Baghdad and Anbar governorates.

108. In paragraph 1.3.22 of its April 2015 Country Information and Guidance document: Iraq: Security situation in Baghdad, southern governorates and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq the Home Office state that: "there has been a deterioration in the security situation in Babil governorate since 2012 and 2013... In 2014 there was an average of 126 people killed per month" It continues in paragraph 1.3.23 by identifying that "the government maintains control over the majority of the governorate, including the northern part of Babil around Jurf Al-Sakhr, which was previously an ISIL strong-hold from which it launched attacks on the surrounding area and manufactured car bombs. By the end of 2014 ISIL's presence in Jurf Al-Sakhr had been cleared, with insurgents routed further north. This military success had improved the security situation considerably. However, there remained a risk of further violence, both from renewed armed conflict and as a result of IEDs left behind by insurgents".

109. At paragraph 1.3.25 it concluded that: "while levels of violence have increased in Babil compared to previous years, conditions have not deteriorated to the extent that a person returning there would face a breach of Article 15(c)". However, it is added that: "while in general a return to Babil would not breach Article 15(c), decision makers must also consider whether there are particular factors relevant to the person's individual circumstances which might nevertheless place them at risk. Such factors include - but are not limited to - the person's age, gender, health, ethnicity, religion, sect, disability and profession. Some persons, especially those who reside in areas where they are a minority, may face a heightened risk of indiscriminate violence". At paragraph 1.3.27, the Home Office noted that "the security situation remains fluid".

110. In his first report, of 27 February 2015, Dr Fatah observes that ISIL was ousted from its based in Jurf Al-Sakhr, in the north of the governorate, in October 2014. The majority of the fighting in Babil - and the casualties - occurred during the summer months of 2014 and that the province is now far quieter, although there remains a consistent level of violence. Dr Fatah's later reports do not describe any change to his position in this regard. Statistics are provided by Dr Fatah identifying that in the first two weeks of February 2015 there were 20 security incidents in the governorate, in which 18 civilians were killed and 59 wounded. The population of Babil governorate, according to the Home Office is 1.8 million.

111. As evidenced by its previous operations in Jurf Al-Sakh, the north of Babil governorate is clearly viewed by ISIL as a strategically advantageous position, because of its proximity to Baghdad and its border with Anbar. Given this, it is important that decision makers, when faced with applicants from that province, carefully consider up-to-date information on the situation there. On the basis of the limited information put before us on the current situation in Babil governorate, which we have summarised above, we do not accept that it has been demonstrated that there presently exists an Article 15(c) risk there to an ordinary civilian; and neither does a person's ethnicity, religion or sex, whether taken individually or cumulatively, enhance the level of risk there so as to engage Article 15(c). There is no evidence of very recent conflict between ISIL and state authorities in the north of the province, and the security incidents, deaths and injuries to civilians in the governorate from 'security incidents', whilst deplorable, is small in number when compared to the size of the governorates population.

Iraqi Kurdish Region (IKR) - Erbil , Sulaymaniyah and Dahuk

112. In Dr Fatah's opinion the IKR "is virtually violence free, and only exceptional one offs disrupt this". The most recent security incident in the IKR referred to in Dr Fatah's evidence was a suicide car bomb outside the governorate office in Erbil on 19 November 2014, which killed six people, including the driver, and wounded dozens. Prior to that there was a bomb in Erbil on 29 September 2013, which also killed six people. The Home Office April 2015 CIG also makes reference to the November 2014 attack, but identifies there having been 10 deaths as a consequence. It concludes that the IKR is stable and has very low levels of violence.

113. The evidence before us does not establish that there is an Article 15(c) risk to an ordinary civilian in the IKR; and neither does a person's ethnicity, religion or sex, whether taken individually or cumulatively, enhance the level of risk so as to engage Article 15(c).

The Southern Governorates - Basra, Kerbala, Najaf, Muthana, Thi-Qar, Missan, Qadissiya and Wassit

114. Dr Fatah identifies that security incidents in the southern governorates of Iraq are "rare" - with Thi-Qar, Missan, Qadissiya and Wassit being almost entirely free of violence for some years and the mainly Sunni governorate of Muthana being "basically empty". There were more regular security incidents in Basra and Kerbala, although not on the scale of the incidents in other parts of Iraq. The evidence given by Dr Fatah in relation to the Southern governorates accords with that provided in the April 2015 CIG report at [1.3.29], which recalls the number of civilian fatalities in 2014 in Thi-Qar and Muthana as being eight and six respectively, Basra as having 128 such fatalities, and in Kerbala 200 fatalities. The combined population of the eight governorates is 6.7 million.

115. Our attention has not been drawn to any evidence contradicting that which we have summarised above and, as a consequence, we have no hesitation in concluding that the evidence before us does not disclose that there is a real risk of serious harm - as defined in Article 15(c) - for an ordinary civilian in any of the southern governorates; nor does a person's ethnicity, religion or sex - whether taken of itself or cumulatively - increase the risk of serious harm to such person so as to engage Article 15(c).

116. Although we have found that Article 15(c) is not engaged for an ordinary civilian in the Southern governorates we are also required to consider issues of safety arising during the process of return to a person's home area - this being part of the decision on status entitlement ( HH(Somalia) [2010] EWCA Civ 426 at [82-84]).

117. Iraqi nationals not originating from the IKR will be returned to Baghdad by the Respondent. Dr Fatah provides detailed evidence on the safety of road travel from Baghdad to the southern governorates in his second report stating at [103] that "There are no reports of such targeting by armed groups on civilians using roads from Baghdad to southern areas, or vice versa." He does however provide evidence of a truck bombing on a water purification centre on the Umqasir - Safwan road in Basra in March 2015 and an explosive device attached to a car in northern Babil in February 2015. There are also a number of incidents of attacks on checkpoints in Baghdad. This evidence reflects evidence found elsewhere before us and does not lead us to conclude that there would be a real risk of an ordinary civilian travelling from Baghdad airport to the southern governorates, suffering serious harm en route to such governorates so as engage Article 15(c).

Baghdad City

118. Baghdad governorate consists of 10 districts, covers approximately 4500 square kilometres and has a population of between 6.6 and 7.1 million (the figure referred to in HM2 being that produced by the GoI of 7,055,200 - whereas the UN's Joint Analysis Unit identifies the population of Baghdad governorate to be 6,696,596 as of 2013). The governorate is under the control of the Iraqi Security Forces, although Human Rights Watch wrote on 15 February 2015 that Shia militias were leading security operations in Baghdad.

119. Within the governorate, Baghdad city comprises nine districts and 89 neighbourhoods and is said to have a population of approximately 6.5 million ([199] of HM2). A US Congressional Research Service report of February 2015 referred to the population of Baghdad city as being 80% Shia, although the Landinfo report indicates that the percentage mix of Shia and Sunnis in Baghdad is not known. The sensitivity of this political subject led to the national census being deferred. Sadr City, a 'Shia district' within Baghdad city, is the centre for Moqtada al-Sadr and his followers and the area relies entirely on the Jaysh al Mahdi for its security. Sunni areas are largely to be found to the west of the city (Al Ghazaliya, Abu Ghraib and Al Jami'ah), although Al Doura, in southern Baghdad, is also reported to be a majority Sunni neighbourhood (USA Today - 13 July 2013) and there are mixed neighbourhoods, such as al Adel in the east of Baghdad and Karkh in the centre of the city. There is no identifiable Kurdish area in Baghdad city and Dr Fatah was unaware of the number of Kurds living in the city. Most violent activity within Baghdad is the responsibility of ISIL and Shia militia groups. ISIL pursues its campaign in Baghdad to undermine the stability of the security apparatus there - instilling fear within general populace and feeding off the global coverage of the incidents.

120. In his first report Dr Fatah refers to their having been 127 'incidents' in Baghdad in the first three weeks of January 2015, killing 185 and injuring 500 persons. Another explosive device detonated in a market on 30 January, killing a further 18-20 people. He describes five bomb attacks (suicide bombs or IEDs) in Baghdad in February 2015, each near a restaurant or other public place, causing approximately 60 deaths in total and a significantly greater number of wounded. These, and other incidents, are also reported elsewhere in the evidence before us.

121. In January 2015 there were 118 IED attacks in Baghdad. Musings on Iraq reported the number of IED attacks in Baghdad in February 2015 in the following terms:

"Baghdad continued to suffer from a steady stream of improvised explosive devices (IEDs). 23 went off during the week killing 32 people, 46% of all deaths, and injured another 129, 80% of the total. The Islamic State's VBIED bases around the capital have largely been disrupted and the group is using most of them for tactical attacks upon the government forces in places like Salahaddin. That has left IEDs as the main form of attack in the capital. While not as deadly as car bombs, most IEDs are set off in public places like shops and markets to harm as many civilians as possible and are the main driver of casualties for the last several months."

122. According to figures produced by UNAMA, in the first 3 months of 2015 there were 947 civilian deaths and 2,561 civilian injuries in Baghdad. IBC recorded 4,767 civilian deaths in Baghdad governorate in 2014, almost double that of 2013.

123. Later incidents, in May 2015, are detailed in Amnesty International's report of 14 May - reference being made therein to bomb, and/or rocket attacks of public places in Baghdad on 2, 5, 9 and 12 May this year, and kidnappings and other killings on 7 May. After the hearing we were also provided with news reports relating to two significant car bomb attacks on hotels in central Baghdad, carried out by ISIL at the end of May, in which at least nine more people were killed and dozens injured.

124. Dr Fatah explains that it is Baghdad's Shiite districts that have borne the brunt of the bomb attacks - with the perpetrators generally believed to be either ISIL or other Sunni insurgents. Amnesty International reports that Shia militias, backed by GoI, have been abducting and killing Sunni civilian men in Baghdad, and around the country - indicating that it has documented "dozens" of such cases in Baghdad, Samarra and Kirkuk. Dr Fatah observes that Sunni districts experience fewer incidents than Shia districts and that such incidents as there are largely take the form of kidnappings and killings. Sunnis are targeted, amongst other reasons, as retribution for the acts of ISIL.

125. There are also reports of the Christian and Kurdish communities in Baghdad receiving death threats from Shi'a militias warning them to leave, although Dr Fatah does not identify the number of such threats, whether the threats prompted the recipients to leave, or whether any such threats were acted upon.

126. When viewed in the context of the size of the population of Baghdad city, we do not find the level of civilian deaths and injuries there, even taken at its highest and allowing for the likelihood of underreporting, to be indicative of the level of indiscriminate violence so as to engage Article 15(c). A resident of Baghdad city could, of course, reduce still further the already small possibility of being caught up in an attack by avoiding those busy public places which the evidence suggests are one of the primary targets.

127. We accept, however, that the statistics as to the level of civilian deaths and injuries in Baghdad are not determinative of the issue before us; indeed if they were then, as Mr Bazini properly points out, they are not significantly different to the statistics on deaths and injuries to civilians drawn in relation to some of the governorates in the contested areas. A more holistic approach is required.

128. There are significant differences as between the circumstances in the contested areas and those prevailing in Baghdad. The April 2015 CIG reports that despite the levels of violence in Baghdad, displacement there has remained low (around 60,000) with the majority of those displaced (40,000) moving within the governorate. This is in contrast to the high levels of population displacement away from the contested areas.

129. Although displacement levels are clearly a relevant factor when taking the inclusive approach to a consideration of Article 15(c), we are cautious about giving them undue prominence in our holistic assessment. A person who is facing egregious violence in one place may decide to move to another place that, whilst safer, is still far from peaceful. We do, however, accept that the large movement of people from the contested areas to Baghdad city is indicative of there being sufficiently less violence in Baghdad to make the arduous and upsetting process of fleeing one's home worthwhile. The geography also indicates that those moving to Baghdad from the contested areas do not face a "Hobson's Choice", in that some, at least, would appear to have the option of seeking refuge in the Southern Governorates or across the border in Jordan.

130. It is also apparent from what we say above that the nature of the conflict is very different as between the contested areas and Baghdad, as are the circumstances of daily life between in the two regions - the nature of the conflict and the features of daily life in Baghdad both being relevant considerations in our determination of whether an Article 15(c) threshold has been met. As to the latter it is observed in the Landinfo report of February 2015, that:

"Daily life in Baghdad carries on in the midst of all the violent incidents. Somehow communications, transport, trade and industry and public business go on functioning, in spite of the many restrictions as a result of the many years of misrule, corruption and poor security."

It is also relevant that the violence in Baghdad is largely generated by asymmetrical warfare (i.e. sporadic terrorist attacks) rather than by all out fighting, such as is to be seen in the contested areas.

131. Dr Fatah expressed agreement with the aforementioned passage from the Landinfo report during the course of his oral evidence, with the proviso that although daily life carries on the security situation has instilled a fear in the general populace. This we accept and have had full regard to when coming to our conclusions; nevertheless this must be viewed in the context of the very small proportion of persons living in Baghdad who are killed and injured there as a direct or indirect consequence of the security situation.

132. Having considered all of the evidence before us, a summary of which we have set out above, in our view we do not find that the level of violence in Baghdad city, or in Baghdad governorate as a whole, comes even close to crossing the Article 15(c) threshold.

133. Mr Bazini submits that, Kurds, Christians and persons without established connections to Baghdad should be considered to be in an "enhanced risk category" - by this, reference is being made to the conclusions of the CJEU in Elgafaji that where a person comes within a group of people for whom there is an enhanced risk, the degree of indiscriminate violence does not need to be as high as it would otherwise have to be in order to invoke Article 2 or Article 15(c) - see also Diakite at [31].

134. Other than the Mr Bazini's assertion that Christians in Baghdad are at an enhanced risk we heard no submissions directly relating to this issue and were not directed to any evidence in support of the assertion made. Given the paucity of evidence, and lack of detailed submissions, we do not accept that it has been established that Christians in Iraq are in an enhanced risk category under Article 15(c).

135. We have heard or seen nothing that leads us to conclude that either persons without connections, or Kurds, in Baghdad are an "enhanced risk category". As to the latter, this was put by Mr Bazini primarily on the basis that there is no established Kurdish area in Baghdad. Whilst we accept Dr Fatah's evidence in this regard, we observe the evidence does not disclose a significant number of attacks on Kurds in Baghdad, nor have we been drawn to any evidence of recent displacement by Kurds out of Baghdad. The same is the position for those who have no connection to Baghdad prior to moving there. The evidence before us does not establish that a person with such a characteristic is at an enhanced risk in Baghdad.

136. It is rightly not suggested that the evidence demonstrates that there is a real risk of Article 15(c) harm arising solely because a person is a Sunni or Shia civilian in Baghdad and we, in any event, conclude that it does not.

137. Furthermore, the evidence does not disclose, and neither was it suggested to us, that those returned to Iraq on an expired passport, or a laissez-passer, have any difficulties at the airport, or when travelling en route to Baghdad city, for reason of not having a current passport or other form of Iraqi identification document.

The Baghdad Belts

138. The Institute for the Study of War identifies the Baghdad belts as consisting of residential, agricultural, and industrial areas that encircle the city of Baghdad, as well as the "networks of roadways, rivers, and other lines of communication that lie within a twenty or thirty mile radius of Baghdad and connect the capital to the rest of Iraq. Beginning in the north, the belts include the cities of Taji, clockwise to Tarmiyah, Baqubah [Diyala governorate] , Buhriz [Diyala governorate] , Besmayah and Nahrwan, Salman Pak, Mahmudiyah, Sadr al-Yusufiyah, Fallujah [Anbar governorate] , and Karmah [Anbar governorate] . This "clock" can be divided into quadrants: Northeast, Southeast, Southwest, and Northwest".

139. This accords with information provided by the Foreign and Commonwealth Office ("FCO") in its letter of the 11 May 2015, in which it is also observed that ISIL and other associated Sunni insurgent groups are active in the Baghdad Belts and have been known to target civilians travelling by road. It said further therein, however, that the numbers of attacks are lower than elsewhere in Iraq due to the generally non-permissive environment for Sunni insurgents to operate in.

140. In its "map of Iraqi towns and Cities seized by the Islamic States and its allies" (circa September 2014) the Long War Journal listed several areas in the Baghdad governorate as showing recent armed clashes - including Madain, Taji and Tarmiyah.

141. Both the Landinfo February 2015 report and the Home Office COI Request of 6 May 2015 report numerous attacks carried by ISIL in, or launched from, the Baghdad Belts. For example, on 18 September 2014 ISIL launched an attack on Baghdad's Kadhmiyah neighbourhood, using mortar rounds and improvised explosive devices. It is said that it is believed the attacks were launched from Taji. There was also seven attacks on Dhuluyia, on the border of the Baghdad governorate, in September 2014 - an assault on the village being repelled by local fighters on 18 September. On 27 April 2015, 10 cars carrying unidentified armed individuals wearing security uniforms stormed Taji police station and took five detainees.

142. Paragraph 52 the Home Office COI Response records in the following terms incidents of forced displacement from regions within the Belts:

"Sources interviewed by Reuters confirmed the practice of forced displacement in the Baghdad belts region. Citing a defence official the report noted: "The militias... are trying to change the demography...They are carrying out acts of revenge and it is out of control. The military cannot restrain them. Hanin al-Qaddo, deputy head of the parliamentary committee on displacement and a member of PM al-Abadi's political bloc stated: "It's not possible to allow all these [displaced] families to return back to their house even if Islamic State is kicked out and clashes stopped...Why? Because most of these families in Baghdad Belt were providing a safe haven to Islamic State".

143. The February 2015 Landinfo report reads:

"In the suburbs [another name for the Baghdad belts] fighting has been taking place continuously between ISIL and Iraqi forces supported by Shiite militias and the US air force ever since the summer [of 2014]. The army and Shiite militias are trying to prevent ISIL from taking control in these areas which would give them a foothold for launching attacks against the city from the suburbs. According to Jessica Lewis (2014) at ISW, ISIL is trying to hold and extend the positions they established in the summer so that they can surround the city and launch attacks on a larger scale"

144. On 1 May 2015 The Institute for the Study of War listed Nebai, in the North-West of the Baghdad Belts, as a "contested area" - observing that ISIL enjoyed freedom of movement in the area, and had used it as a place from which to launch its attacks.

145. It is immediately apparent from the brief synopsis above, of the geographical reach of the Baghdad Belts, that parts of the Belts to the north, west and east of Baghdad city fall within the territory of the governorates in which we have found there to be an Article 15(c) risk.

146. Given this, and the other evidence before us, we find that there are areas within the Baghdad Belts in which ordinary civilians are at risk of suffering harm of the type identified in Article 15(c) of the Qualification Directive. Such areas are though in the significant minority in the Belts, and in the areas closer to the Baghdad city boundaries the risk is akin to that which we have considered above for those person living within the city itself. Although we cannot give an exhaustive list of towns or villages in the Baghdad Belts where an Article 15(c) risk exists, in our view it does include those towns, villages or regions within the five governorates which form a part of the 'contested areas' and those parts of the Belts which constitute the borderlands between Baghdad governorate and the 'contested areas'.

Internal relocation

Legal Framework

147. Article 8 of the Qualification Directive, which applies to both Refugee Convention and subsidiary (humanitarian) protection claims, is headed "Internal protection" and provides:

"1. As part of the assessment of international protection, Member States may determine that an applicant is not in need of international protection if in a part of the country of origin there is no well-founded fear of being persecuted or no real risk of suffering serious harm and the applicant can reasonably be expected to stay in that part of the country.

2. In examining whether a part of the country of origin is in accordance with paragraph 1, Member States shall at the time of taking the decision on the application have regard to the general circumstances prevailing in that part of the country and to the personal circumstances of the applicant.

3. Paragraph 1 may apply notwithstanding technical obstacles to return to the country of origin."

148. The correct approach to the issue of relocation is that set out by Lord Bingham in Januzi v Secretary of State for the Home Department [2006] UKHL 5 [2006] 2 AC 426 i.e. whether a person can reasonably be expected to relocate or whether it would be unduly harsh to expect them to do so. In AH (Sudan) & others (FC) [2007] UKHL 49 at [22], Baroness Hale described the reasonableness test as being "stringent". The burden of proof, as with all aspects of the subsidiary protection determination process that we are concerned with, falls on the appellant.

149. If an ordinary civilian can establish a real risk of serious harm exceeding the Article 15(c) threshold in their home area, then in order to found eligibility for a grant of humanitarian (subsidiary) protection, it also has to be demonstrated that such a person cannot relocate to another region either because there is a real risk of serious harm in, or en route to, such a region or because circumstances exist there that would otherwise make it unreasonable or unduly harsh for such a person to relocate. The presence of Article 3 etc. serious harm is not a prerequisite for finding that relocation would be unduly harsh or unreasonable.

Places of Return

150. The Respondent states that she will only return Iraqi nationals to either Baghdad or to the IKR. The Respondent also identified that she will only return a person to the IKR if that person is from the IKR and such person has been pre-cleared for return by the IKR authorities.

Relocation to Baghdad

151. The Respondent's position is that, save for those returnees in the category identified below, it would in general be reasonable, and not unduly harsh, to expect a person to relocate to Baghdad city if there is an Article 15(c) risk in their home area. The exception to this generality is identified by the Respondent as being:

"A person returned to Iraq who was unable to replace their Civil Status ID Card or Nationality Certificate [who would] be likely to face significant difficulties in accessing services and a livelihood and would face destitution which is likely to reach the Article 3 threshold. [6]"

152. Having considered the entirely of the evidence before us, we have come broadly to the same conclusions as the Respondent - save that we observe that there will undoubtedly be persons who do not have a CSID and who have been returned with a passport or an expired passport who will not be destitute in Baghdad, and for whom there are no other reasons why relocation there would not be reasonable. In this regard, whilst Dr Fatah provides evidence, which we accept, that a CSID is required to access income/financial assistance, employment, education, housing, a pension, and medical committee documents, there will be persons who do not have a CSID but who nevertheless have access to an adequate support mechanism in Baghdad; for example those persons with family or friends in Baghdad who are willing and able to provide such assistance to them. Such matters will, of course, require careful consideration of the evidence, and a reasoned finding to be made, in each case.

153. The number of persons for whom it is not reasonable, or for whom it would be unduly harsh, to relocate to Baghdad is, we think, likely to be small.

154. As can be seen from the evidence we have set out earlier in the determination, this conclusion does not accord with the UNHCR's or Amnesty International's views - both organisations being of the opinion that it is not appropriate for States to deny persons from Iraq international protection on the basis of the applicability of an internal flight alternative.

155. Whilst we accept that the UNCHR has a significant presence on the ground in Iraq, with independent expert staff that have access to a wide range of information and evidence, and that its position paper on returns to Iraq is detailed and carefully sourced, it is but one of a large number of documents before us relating to the circumstances in Iraq which we have considered and weighed as part of a holistic assessment. In doing so we have borne in mind that the authorities identify that considerable respect should generally be afforded to UNHCR materials when consideration is being to a protection claim, an approach we have taken in the instant case, but such evidence is not presumptively binding of us (See HF (Iraq) at [44]). The UNHCR's position paper on returns speaks in a generalised way about the relocation alternative and does not descend into specifics regarding the circumstances in particular governorates, unlike many of the other documents before us which, when considered holistically, lead us to a different conclusion to that taken by the UNHCR.

156. The same can be said of the evidence provided by Amnesty International. Once again, when undertaking our assessment of the evidence as a whole we have borne fully in mind not only the evidence, and conclusions thereon, provided by Amnesty International, but that Amnesty International is a recognised and well-informed body of high repute [7]

157. Despite the conclusions on the viability of internal relocation drawn by both of aforementioned respectable organisations from the evidence at their disposal, we have drawn a different conclusion from the evidence available to us, including the helpful expert reports from Dr Fatah which were not available to either organisation as far as we are aware. When this difference in conclusion is broken down into its component parts, it can be seen that it does not in fact derive from a significantly different view as to the situation and circumstances on the ground in Baghdad, or the incidents that have taken place there, but rather the legal consequences that flow from such situation.

158. Turning then to identify why we conclude as we do on this issue. The Secretary of State indicates that returns to Baghdad will only take place in accordance with the requirements of the Iraqi authorities i.e. that the returnee will either have an expired, or current, Iraqi passport, or a laissez-passer.

159. In cases where a returnee does not have an expired passport, a current passport or a laissez passer, whether as a consequence of refusing to engage with the process for obtaining one or for another reason, the Respondent will only enforce such person's removal once a document meeting the requirements of the Iraqi authorities becomes available. In the meantime such a person cannot and will not be removed to Iraq.

160. A returnee with any one of the aforementioned three documents will have established to the satisfaction of the Iraqi authorities, at the point in time of being returned to Baghdad, their nationality and identity - that being the very purpose of requiring a returnee to hold one of these documents.

161. According to Dr Fatah, applications for a laissez-passer made after November 2014 are considered on a case by case basis by the Iraqi Embassy. The applicant must "convince" the Iraqi Embassy of their nationality and identity before the Embassy will issue a laissez-passer. In his oral evidence Dr Fatah confirmed that the Embassy requires production of an applicant's CSID or INC or a photocopy of a previous passport and a report from the police confirming that it had been lost or stolen.

162. It was submitted by Mr Bazini that if a person is not removable because they do not have one of the aforementioned documents required by the Iraqi authorities, a status determination should be made in relation them on the factual basis that they do not have such documentation. In such circumstances, he asserted, it would be for a decision-maker - whether this be the Secretary of State or a Tribunal judge hearing an appeal against an adverse decision made by the Secretary of State, to determine whether (i) such a person has a CSID and (ii) if not, whether it is reasonably likely that such a person will not be able obtain a CSID either prior to, or after, removal to Baghdad. He reminded the Tribunal that pursuant to the Respondent's own evidence a person relocating to Baghdad without a CSID would be at risk of an Article 3 breach and it would, therefore, be unreasonable and unduly harsh for them to relocate there.

163. The Secretary of State took a contrary position, Mr Blundell commended the Tribunal to proceed on the basis that both the assessment of risk and the assessment of the reasonableness of relocation made in relation to an Iraqi national protection applicant, should be undertaken on the basis that such an applicant will, at the point in time of return, have either a current or expired passport, or a laissez-passer issued by the Iraqi Embassy in London.

164. Mr Bazini sought to draw support for his submission from the Court of Appeal's decision in HH (Somalia) and others v SSHD [2010] EWCA Civ 426 (Sedley LJ giving the judgment of the Court) in which the Court gave consideration to the issue of whether the route chosen by the Secretary of State to return a protection applicant could be relevant to the decision whether such applicant is entitled to protection:

81. It appears to us that the intention of the Qualification and Procedures Directives is to require a member state to make a decision on entitlement within a reasonable time of the application and to allow the issues raised in it to be subject to an appeal... we do think that, in a case in which the applicant raises a cogent argument within his statutory appeal that there may not be a safe route of return, the Secretary of State must address that question and the issue must be considered as part of the decision on entitlement. Postponement of such consideration until the Secretary of State is in a position to set safe removal directions would effectively be to postpone the decision until the cessation provisions have come into play.

82. We also consider that it is the intention of the Qualification Directive that all matters relating to safety on return should form part of the decision on entitlement. Article 8 envisages that a person may properly be returned to his country of origin if only part of it is safe. It excludes 'technical obstacles to return' from the determination of entitlement. On its face, however, this provision has to do principally with internal relocation, which makes it difficult to derive any general proposition from it about the Directive as a whole or as to what the Directive envisages as to safety during return. It gives some modest support to the suggestion that what Mr Thomann calls 'the mechanics of return' are not intended to form part of the case for protection. But not much support - for it starts with the words "As part of the assessment of the application for international protection...." Nevertheless, its first paragraph treats the availability of internal relocation as a factor negating any need for protection, and its third paragraph excludes from this calculation any "technical obstacles to return to the country of origin".

83. ... there remains a question about what constitutes "technical obstacles" to return. In our view these are probably confined to administrative difficulties such as documentation; they may include physical difficulties such as the lack of return flights; but the phrase does not readily signify a requirement to ignore risks to life or limb once the returnee is back in the country of origin, not only because it does not say so - it speaks only of return to the country of origin - but because to do so would be to permit the very thing that the Directive is designed to prevent, refoulement to a situation of real danger. Our view is that the mere fact that technical obstacles are excluded from consideration suggests that issues of safety during return are to be considered.

84. In conclusion, our provisional view is that the Directives read together require that the issues of safety during return (as opposed to technical obstacles to return) should be considered as part of the decision on entitlement. Only technical obstacles of the kind we have sought to identify may legitimately be deferred to the point at which removal directions are being made or considered. We are aware that the entitlements which appear to follow may be considered an unintended consequence of the Directives; but this, as we have said, is an issue for another day...as it seems to us at present, the decision on entitlement must be taken within a reasonable time and cannot be left until the Home Secretary is in a position to set safe removal directions.

165. Mr Bazini submits that the absence of an applicant having either an expired or current passport, or a laissez passer, is not to be treated as a "technical obstacle" to return for the purposes of Article 8 of the Qualification Directive, given that the lack of documentation is a core feature in the assessment of such applicant's safety upon return. He asserts that in such circumstances it is the factual nexus that pertains as of the date of the decision on the application for protection (or subsequent appeal) that must form the basis of the assessment of risk upon return.

166. We reject Mr Bazini's submissions. First, it is to be observed that the reasoning in paragraphs 81 to 84 of HH (Somalia) was obiter, as the court itself identified in paragraph 80 of its judgment. Second, the court in HH (Somalia) was not dealing with matters relating to an impediment to return, as in the instant case - but to a failure of the Secretary of State to identify a route of return where, in certain circumstances, the choice of a particular route might put an applicant at risk. Third, this issue has, in any event, now been disposed of by the binding judgment of the Court of Appeal in HF (Iraq) - (Elias LJ with the agreement of the Vice President and Fulford LJJ) - a decision that was placed before us by the parties but to which our attention was not specifically drawn.

167. We have set out the background to the decision in HF (Iraq) above and do not repeat it here again. Elias LJ concluded therein as follows:

"89. The question which then potentially arises is how someone will be treated who is forcibly returned without the appropriate document. The Upper Tribunal concluded that this would not happen because the Secretary of State had stated that in practice she would not return anyone to Iraq who did not have the relevant identity documentation. It was suggested that this was her "policy" but in fact this is something of a misnomer: the policy was effectively forced upon her. Her evidence, as recorded by the Upper Tribunal, was that "without the necessary documentation there was no guarantee that they would be accepted by the Iraqi authorities in Baghdad."

90. It was for this reason that the Upper Tribunal considered that the issue was now academic: with the appropriate documentation, the appellants would not be at risk on return from ill-treatment arising out of detention; without it, they would not be returned. It was of course within their control which category they fell into.

...

95. Mr Fordham submits that ... the Upper Tribunal ... could not simply rely on an assurance from the Secretary of State that the appellants would not be returned. Whilst it is true that the individual would not be at risk whilst the Secretary of State's policy was in place, nonetheless the Tribunal was obliged to ask itself the hypothetical question whether there would be a real risk of ill treatment constituting either a breach of Article 3 or entitling the appellants to humanitarian protection. The appellants were entitled to have their position determined not least because it affected their status, and hence their rights, whilst they remained in the United Kingdom.

96. Moreover, Mr Fordham submitted that the fact that they could secure safe return by obtaining the relevant documents was not to the point. It was immaterial to the Tribunal's decision that the appellants may only be at risk because of their refusal to co-operate. That is similarly the position with certain sur place cases, such as those where an asylum seeker deliberately participates in activities in the UK which are designed to catch the attention of the home state and thereby place him at risk on return. If there is a real risk of serious harm on return, the applicant should be granted asylum even though he has by his own actions deliberately chosen to bring that risk upon himself, perhaps specifically to secure asylum.

97. I agree with Mr Fordham that if the reason for the Upper Tribunal declining to deal with the matter was simply that the Secretary of State had a policy not to return persons who could be returned but would be at risk of ill treatment in their home state, that would constitute an error of law, essentially for the reasons elucidated in JI.

98. However, Mr Eadie submits that this is a misrepresentation of the true position. His contention is that, properly analysed, the practice of not returning those without the appropriate travel documents is not a voluntary policy of the Secretary of State at all. The lack of documentation creates an impediment to return which the Secretary of State cannot circumvent. Iraq will not receive anyone from the UK without the relevant travel document. If an unsuccessful applicant for asylum refuses to co-operate to obtain the laissez passer document, he is in precisely the same situation as any other failed asylum seeker whom the Secretary of State is unable to return for one reason or another. The assurance of the Secretary of State that she would not return someone to Iraq without the relevant documents is of no special significance; it simply reflects realities. The general position of someone who cannot be returned, whether because he cannot obtain the requisite documents or for some other reason, is that he may be detained or granted temporary admission pursuant to section 67 of the Nationality, Immigration and Asylum Act 2002, provided at least there remains a possibility of his being returned at some stage in the future: see R (on the application of AR and FW) v Secretary of State for the Home Department [2009] EWCA Civ 1310. As Lord Justice Sedley pointed out in that case, the condition of someone with that status is harsh, although being granted temporary admission does at least allow the unsuccessful asylum-seeker to be free of actual detention.

99. Mr Eadie submits that these appellants are precisely in the situation of any other failed asylum seekers who would not be at risk in their own state but cannot for technical reasons be returned home. The existence of such technical difficulties does not entitle them to humanitarian protection. Article 8(3) of the Qualification Directive makes that plain where, as here, relocation is an option, and it is a fortiori the case where they are not at risk in their home area. Moreover, they can hardly be in any better position than any other asylum seeker who cannot be returned for technical reasons given that the technical difficulty stems from a deliberate refusal to co-operate.

100. Mr Eadie says that this is not like JI or the sur place cases where, if returned, the appellants would potentially face ill-treatment meeting Article 3 standards. They can only be returned with the necessary documentation, and if and when the impediment caused by lack of the relevant documentation is overcome, they will be safe on return.

101. In my judgment, this analysis is correct. I accept, as Mr Fordham submits, that it would be necessary for the court to consider whether the appellants would be at risk on return if their return were feasible, but I do not accept that the Tribunal has to ask itself the hypothetical question of what would happen on return if that is simply not possible for one reason or another. Section 67 of the 2002 Act envisages that there may be practical difficulties impeding or delaying making removal arrangements, but those difficulties do not alter the fact that the failed asylum seeker would be safe in his own country and therefore is in no need of refugee or humanitarian protection. I agree with the Secretary of State that the sur place cases are distinguishable because there the applicant could be returned and would be at risk if he were to be returned. They are not impediment to return cases. " (emphasis added)

168. We consider that the judgments in HF (Iraq) are of considerable importance in formulating any country guidance regarding entitlement to international protection claims involving lack of documentation. If return is not feasible (to use the term employed by Elias LJ), then it is plain from paragraph 101 of the judgment that a tribunal must not hypothesise any potential situations on return, by reference to what documentation the returnee may or may not have or be able to obtain. We simply do not know. It appears to us this means that many appeals to the First-tier Tribunal, arising from refused protection claims by Iraqis, will fall into this category. It will only be when return is found to be feasible that the issue of documentation (or the lack of it) will be able to play a part in the determination of an appellant's entitlement to protection.

169. On one reading of HF (Iraq) - particularly the highlighted passage in paragraph 101 - the impossibility of return could be said to make it unnecessary to hypothesise any risk to an appellant in the country of proposed return, whether or not stemming from a lack of documentation or similar problem. We do not, however, consider that the Court can be taken to have intended such a reading. There may be cases where it will be evident that the person concerned would be at real risk of persecution or serious harm irrespective of lack of documentation. Were Nazi persecution of the Jews occurring today, it would clearly subvert the purpose of the Convention to deny refugee status on the basis that, regardless of what might happen to appellants on return because they are Jewish, they cannot in practice be returned (whether because of documentation or mere refusal to admit Jews to Nazi Germany). For this reason, we consider that the judgment in HF (Iraq) does not preclude a claim to international protection from succeeding, insofar as the asserted risk of harm is not (or not solely) based on factors (such as lack of documentation) that currently render a person's actual return unfeasible.

170. In the absence of an expired or current Iraqi passport, a person can only be returned to Baghdad using a laissez-passer. According to Dr Fatah, either a CSID or INC or a photocopy of a previous Iraqi passport and a police report noting that it had been lost or stolen is required in order to obtain a laissez-passer. If a person does not have one of these documents then they cannot obtain a laissez-passer and therefore cannot be returned. This has a significant bearing on what we have just said. If the position is that the Secretary of State can feasibly remove an Iraqi national, then she will be expected to tell the tribunal whether and if so what documentation has led the Iraqi authorities to issue the national with the passport or laissez passer (or signal their intention to do so). The Tribunal will need to know, in particular, whether the person concerned has a CSID. It is only where return is feasible but the individual concerned does not have a CSID that the consequences of not having one come into play.

Relocation to the IKR

171. We have found at paragraphs 112 and 113 above that there is no Article 15(c) risk to an ordinary civilian in the IKR. What, though, of internal relocation? So far as a Kurd is concerned, the evidence of Dr Fatah was not seriously challenged by the respondent and we, in any event, accept it (see esp. paragraph 24 above). The position of Iraqi Kurds not from the IKR is that they can gain temporary entry to the IKR; that formal permission to remain can be obtained if employment is secured; and that the authorities in the IKR do not pro-actively remove Kurds whose permits have come to an end. Whether this state of affairs is such as to make it reasonable for an Iraqi Kurd to relocate to the IKR is a question that may fall to be addressed by judicial fact-finders, if it is established that, on the particular facts, permanent relocation to Baghdad would be unduly harsh. In such circumstances, the person concerned might be reasonably expected to relocate to the IKR. In this scenario, whether such further relocation would be reasonable will itself be fact sensitive, being likely to involve (a) the practicality of travel from Baghdad to the IKR (such as to Irbil by air); (b) the likelihood of securing employment; and (c) the availability of assistance from friends and family in the IKR.

172. So far as non-Kurds are concerned, we do not consider that, as a general matter, relocation to the IKR is a reasonable proposition. The risk of being turned away at the point of entry is significant, unless a person has connections with people in the IKR.

Obtaining a CSID whilst in the UK

173. As regards those who have an expired or current Iraqi passport but no CSID - Dr Fatah identifies in his first report that a CSID may be obtained through the "Consular section of the Iraqi Embassy in London", which will send a request for a replacement or renewed CSID to the General Directorate for Travel and Nationality - Directorate of Civil Status. A request for a replacement CSID must be accompanied, inter alia, by "any form of official document in support of the applicant's identity" and the application form must be signed by "the head of the family, or the legal guardian or representative to verify the truth of its contents." He also added that an applicant must also authorise a person in Iraq to act as his representative in order for that person to "follow up on the progress of the application.

174. However, Dr Fatah continued by explaining that if an individual has lost his CSID and does not know the relevant page and book number for it, then the Iraq Embassy in London will not be able to obtain one on his behalf. Instead, he or she will have to attend the appropriate local office of family registration in Iraq or give a relative, friend or lawyer power of attorney to obtain his or her CSID. The process of a giving power of attorney to a lawyer in Iraq to act "as a proxy" is commonplace and Dr Fatah had done this himself. He also explained that the power of attorney could be obtained through the Iraq Embassy.

175. Dr Fatah gave further evidence to the effect that having a marriage certificate may be useful as it would contain data found in the family records. It is, however, not possible to use a "health card" in order to obtain a CSID because there is no primary health care or GP system in Iraq, but instead patients attended hospital when they needed to do so and no central records are held.

176. There is a consensus between Dr Fatah's evidence and the following more general evidence provided by UNHCR-Iraq in April 2015 on the issue of obtaining CSID's from abroad.

"In principle, a failed asylum seeker, or indeed any Iraqi citizen abroad, can acquire Iraqi documents through Iraqi embassies and consulates. There is a special authorization granted to these bodies to provide documents for Iraqi abroad on the condition that the beneficiaries should have any available documents in order to prove their nationality."

177. In summary, we conclude that it is possible for an Iraqi national living in the UK to obtain a CSID through the consular section of the Iraqi Embassy in London, if such a person is able to produce a current or expired passport and/or the book and page number for their family registration details. For persons without such a passport, or who are unable to produce the relevant family registration details, a power of attorney can be provided to someone in Iraq who can thereafter undertake the process of obtaining the CSID for such person from the Civil Status Affairs Office in their home governorate. For reasons identified in the section that follows below, at the present time the process of obtaining a CSID from Iraq is likely to be severely hampered if the person wishing to obtain the CSID is from an area where Article 15(c) serious harm is occurring.

Obtaining a CSID whilst in Iraq

178. The evidence before us in this regard is largely undisputed.

179. Dr Fatah in his most recent report indicates that the starting position is that in order to obtain a new or replacement CSID a person usually had to return to the governorate where his or her birth was registered and where the primary family registration book is held i.e. in the local population registration/civil status office. He went on to explain that there are 300 population registration offices in Iraq which are responsible to a central Civil Status Affairs Directorate.

180. Births are registered manually in volumes held at these local population registration offices and these offices are responsible for checking the manual register before issuing a CSID. They also send information on to the central population registry in Baghdad. USAID Iraq told Dr Fatah that the central population registry/central archive is not a searchable data base. Instead a "search of the central archive needs an officer to open doors (literally or metaphorically). The search must be done by a government official - members of the public cannot search through the "central archive". The key issue is whether the official is willing to do the search - or can be made willing. In addition, the individual would need to know his volume and page numbers or the official would have to trawl through a given governorate's entire archive of back-up files. As a consequence, if an individual does not have his volume and page number his only option will be to locate a close family member with the same details and hope that an official will assist him.

181. There is also some doubt as to whether a CSID could be handed over to anyone but the individual whose details it contained, even if an individual did hold a power of attorney. In addition, if the person is outside Iraq the details of an individual's CSID would have to be sent to him and he would have to ask the Iraqi Embassy to send any application for a CSID through the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to Iraq. The Ministry of the Interior would then need to issue the CSID and send it to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs who would send it back to the Iraqi Embassy in London.

182. UNHCR-Iraq told Dr Fatah that there is no database or any electronic system in place to issue CSIDs. Scanned copies of local paper records are archived in the General Directorate of Civil Status Affairs in Baghdad. Having discussed the situation with Landinfo Dr Fatah concluded that registration is undertaken in the local area and that the Civil Status Affairs Directorate or central population registry in Baghdad does not generally issue CSIDs.

183. This is confirmed to some extent by the fact that the Iraqi government has set up two Alternative Civil Status Affairs Offices to issue CSIDs to IDPs from governorates which have been captured by ISIL. One office has been set up in Najaf to issue copies of CSIDs archived from Mosul, and another office has been set up in Baghdad to issue copies of CSIDs to individuals from Anbar and Salahaddin. These offices are only authorised to issue CSIDs to IDPs from these governorates.

184. Dr Fatah was further informed by a source at the Norwegian Refugee Council that the Ministry of the Interior had refused to open up more Alternative Civil Status Affairs offices so as to protect civil records from fraud, to protect confidentiality and to avoid duplication, as there was no database or electronic system.

185. UNHCR-Iraq provides some support to those without a CSID through its Protection, Assistance and Re-integration Centres ("PARC"), but such support is limited to providing guidance and legal advice on required procedures and documents needed to obtain a CSID. It did not issue these or other documents itself. It also confirmed that Harikar and Qandil [8] have indicated that they do not issue CSIDs. The Norwegian Refugee Council told Dr Fatah that there is a network of legal aid clinics in Iraq, which is funded as part of USAID's Iraq Access to Justice Programme. They also provide legal advice, but do not issue CSIDs.

186. Drawing all of this together we conclude that an Iraqi national should as a general matter be able to obtain a CSID from the Civil Status Affairs Office for their home Governorate, using an Iraqi passport (whether current or expired), if they have one. If they do not have such a passport, their ability to obtain a CSID may depend on whether they know the page and volume number of the book holding their information (and that of their family members). Their ability to persuade the officials that they are the person named on the relevant page is likely to depend on whether they have family members or other individuals who are prepared to vouch for them.

187. An Iraqi national's ability to obtain a CSID is likely to be severely hampered if they are unable to go to the Civil Status Affairs Office of their home Governorate because it is in an area where Article 15(c) serious harm is occurring. As a result of the violence, alternative CSA Offices for Mosul, Anbar and Saluhaddin have been established in Baghdad and Kerbala. The evidence does not demonstrate that the "Central Archive", which exists in Baghdad, is in practice able to provide CSIDs to those in need of them. There is, however, a National Status Court in Baghdad, to which a person could apply for formal recognition of identity. The precise operation of this court is, however, unclear.

Conditions in Baghdad

188. We accept that Iraq's economy is in a poor position, being heavily dependent as it is on oil revenues, which have fallen significantly because of the drop in the oil price and the fact that a number of oil producing facilities are in the contested areas.

189. Dr Fatah cites figures from 2007-2011 in which it is said that 2.8% of the population lie below the poverty line of $1.25 per day. According to the CIA Fact Book, as of July 2014 Iraq had an estimated population of 32,585,692, with 10 million males and 8.5 million females being of "working age" (taken to be between 15 and 64 years old). Only 50% of the population "participate in the workforce" of which, according to UNDP Iraq in 2014, approximately one in six were women. It is considered normal in Iraq for Iraqi women to depend on their male family members in a male headed household. Sources vary between 18% and 24% as to the unemployment rate in Iraq as a whole for 2013/14. A CSID is necessary in order to obtain employment.

190. According to unemployment figures for 2014 produced by the United Nations, the percentage of unemployment recorded for Baghdad was 9.7%, although youth unemployment (between the ages of 15 and 29) was said to be at 17.1%. Musings on Iraq commented, from the figures produced by the UN that "men were proportionately employed to a greater degree than women". There is also clear evidence that the Iraqi state is the dominant employer in the country, employing approximately 5 million people. Political connections and family ties are of importance in obtaining employment, particularly in the public sector.

191. Dr Fatah provides evidence indicating that the average salary in 2012 in Iraq was $6000, but that some public sector workers were earning $2400 per year. He is of the opinion that that the employment statistics are distorted by the presence of 'ghost' employees - there being over a 1000 ghost companies according to Iraqi News.

192. As to the living conditions generally in Baghdad - Dr Fatah reports that residents there have electricity supply for approximately 16 hours per day and 62-80% "used public water for drinking", although many households have less than two hours access a day to water. This broadly accords with evidence provided in the February 2015 Norwegian Landinfo report, which also identifies that:

"The public health service is operational, if only at a minimal level. It is generally poor all over the country but operates better in Baghdad than other places. There are no significant shortages of medicines generally in the country...The schools are open and education has not been seriously interrupted for several years."

193. Turning to the issue of accommodation - Dr Fatah opines that the vast majority of IDPs in Iraq live in temporary shelters, with one in every five living in an unfurnished building with no water, electricity or heat. Dr Fatah does not, however, particularise this evidence in relation to Baghdad and we do not accept that this generality holds good for this city.

194. The IOM Displacement Snapshot for Baghdad - dated September 2014 - states:

"The great majority of IDPs in Baghdad are Arab Sunnis (83%)...and are located across most districts of Baghdad...

The most common type of shelter arrangement for Baghdad IDPs is staying with relatives; almost 60% of all IDP families in Baghdad are being hosted by relatives across the governorate...

Additionally, close to 500 families are being hosted by Mosques and holy sites...All these families are Shia Muslim. Over 60 families are currently seeking shelter in school buildings exposed to the possibility of having to relocate when the school year begins.

...over 130 families are staying in vulnerable housing, meaning school buildings, informal settlements, camps, collective centers, abandoned/public building/spaces under construction exposing them vulnerabilities such as adequate access to water, food, sanitation facilities, and health facilities.

IDPs in Baghdad are reportedly receiving food assistance through local NGOs, religious groups and community donations. They also generally have access to water, sanitation and healthcare...

The majority of IDPs are living in rented houses and they are struggling to pay the rent..."

195. According to the IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix [9] Round XVII - dated April 2015 - there are 177,906 IDPs living in a host family's accommodation in Baghdad, 167,328 IDPs living in rented accommodation, 3,330 in school buildings, 3,180 in camps, 2,106 in informal settlements - such as a groups of tents, 1554 persons living in Hotels or Motels, 690 living in religious buildings and 186 IDPs living in abandoned buildings.

196. Given the precision of these statistics, and body producing them, we accept they provide a reasonably accurate picture of the living arrangements in Baghdad for persons displaced there - although it is also not difficult to accept that there will be some IDPs who are not captured within these statistics.

197. There are a number of relevant features in these statics for decision-makers determining whether, in any given case, it is reasonable for a person to relocate to Baghdad. First, a significant proportion of displaced person's live in host family's accommodation. This accords with evidence set out above regarding the 'draw' factors of Baghdad for displaced persons. Careful consideration will have to be given by decision-makers to the question of whether an individual being returned to Baghdad has family there to accommodate them. If this is so then consideration will have to be given to the issue of whether those family members will provide sufficient assistant to render relocation reasonable irrespective of whether the applicant has a CSID.

198. The second significant feature is the percentage of displaced persons who reside in rented accommodation in Baghdad. Although we have no evidence to show how such persons obtained the financial capability to fund their accommodation, we do not think it beyond the realms of reasonableness to draw from this that there are opportunities available in Baghdad for displaced persons to earn sufficient funds to enable them to rent accommodation if they have a CSID.

199. The third relevant feature of these statistics is the small percentage of displaced persons who are recorded as living in places other than a host family's, or rented, accommodation.

200. In addition to that which we have observed above, we have also been provided with evidence regarding numerous organisations operating in Baghdad that provide assistance to displaced persons. However, we take cognisance of the fact that a staff member at the Ministry of Displacement and Migration informed Dr Fatah that failed asylum seekers are not treated as IDPs by the Ministry and that the Ministry only had an obligation to assist IDPs. An organisation named Harikar also told Dr Fatah that they focused on IDPs and not failed asylum seekers. UNHCR and the Ministry of Interior were not able to provide any information about whether or not failed asylum seekers would be able to access support or assistance provided to IDPs.

201. As identified above, evidence from UNCHR-Iraq reveals that as of April 2015 it had a branch office in Baghdad and that it had established a network of Protection and Assistance Centres through its partner agencies, which include:

(i) the Norwegian Refugee Council, which is funded by USAID's Iraq's access to justice programme and provides cash assistance, food distribution and shelter;

(ii) the International Organisation for Migration ("IOM") which has implemented several projects directed towards IDPs in Iraq including; income generation projects, emergency response in a crisis, and livelihood projects, which were implemented in conjunction with the Ministry of Displacement and Migration ("MoDM"); and,

(iii) the International Rescue Committee ("IRC"), which provides a number of services for, and on behalf of, IDPs, including: legal assistance, protection monitoring, capacity building and development, protection interventions and referrals, advocacy and information dissemination.

202. It is clear from the evidence before us that Arabic speaking males with family connections to Baghdad and a CSID are in the strongest position. At the other end of the scale, those with no family connections in Baghdad who are from minority communities and who have no CSID are least able to provide for themselves. There are a wide range of circumstances falling between these two extremes. Those without family connections are more vulnerable than those with such connections. Women are more vulnerable than men. Those who do not speak Arabic are less likely to be able to obtain employment. Those from minority communities are less likely to be able to access community support than those from the Sunni and Shi'a communities.

203. On the evidence before us, whilst we accept that for a person who has no family or other support in Baghdad and who also does not have a CSID, and cannot obtain one reasonably soon after arrival, it would be unreasonable and unduly harsh to relocate to Baghdad, for the generality of Iraqis, despite difficulties that may be experienced in respect of such matters such as access to health care, education and jobs, we consider that relocation to Baghdad is safe and not unreasonable or unduly harsh - one reason being that a person can only be returned to Baghdad if such person has a current or expired Iraqi passport or a laissez-passer.

Country Guidance

204. The guidance we give is as follows:

A. INDISCRIMINATE VIOLENCE IN IRAQ: ARTICLE 15(C) OF THE QUALIFICATION DIRECTIVE

4. In accordance with the principles set out in Elgafaji (C-465/07) and QD (Iraq) v Secretary of State for the Home Department [2009] EWCA Civ 620, decision-makers in Iraqi cases should assess the individual characteristics of the person claiming humanitarian protection, in order to ascertain whether those characteristics are such as to put that person at real risk of Article 15(c) harm.

B. DOCUMENTATION AND FEASIBILITY OF RETURN (excluding IKR)

6. No Iraqi national will be returnable to Baghdad if not in possession of one of these documents.

C. POSITION ON DOCUMENTATION WHERE RETURN IS FEASIBLE

9. Having a CSID is one of the ways in which it is possible for an Iraqi national in the United Kingdom to obtain a passport or a laissez passer. Where the Secretary of State proposes to remove P by means of a passport or laissez passer, she will be expected to demonstrate to the Tribunal what, if any, identification documentation led the Iraqi authorities to issue P with the passport or laissez passer (or to signal their intention to do so).

13. P's ability to obtain a CSID is likely to be severely hampered if P is unable to go to the Civil Status Affairs Office of P's Governorate because it is in an area where Article 15(c) serious harm is occurring. As a result of the violence, alternative CSA Offices for Mosul, Anbar and Saluhaddin have been established in Baghdad. The evidence does not demonstrate that the "Central Archive", which exists in Baghdad, is in practice able to provide CSIDs to those in need of them. There is, however, a National Status Court in Baghdad, to which P could apply for formal recognition of identity. The precise operation of this court is, however, unclear.

D. INTERNAL RELOCATION WITHIN IRAQ (OTHER THAN THE IKR)

14. As a general matter, it will not be unreasonable or unduly harsh for a person from a contested area to relocate to Baghdad City or (subject to paragraph 2 above) the Baghdad Belts.

15. In assessing whether it would be unreasonable/unduly harsh for P to relocate to Baghdad, the following factors are, however, likely to be relevant:

(a) whether P has a CSID or will be able to obtain one (see Part C above);

(b) whether P can speak Arabic (those who cannot are less likely to find employment);

(c) whether P has family members or friends in Baghdad able to accommodate him;

(d) whether P is a lone female (women face greater difficulties than men in finding employment);

(e) whether P can find a sponsor to access a hotel room or rent accommodation;

(f) whether P is from a minority community;

(g) whether there is support available for P bearing in mind there is some evidence that returned failed asylum seekers are provided with the support generally given to IDPs.

16. There is not a real risk of an ordinary civilian travelling from Baghdad airport to the southern governorates, suffering serious harm en route to such governorates so as engage Article 15(c).

E IRAQI KURDISH REGION

18. The IKR is virtually violence free. There is no Article 15(c) risk to an ordinary civilian in the IKR.

20. Whether K, if returned to Baghdad, can reasonably be expected to avoid any potential undue harshness in that city by travelling to the IKR, will be fact sensitive; and is likely to involve an assessment of (a) the practicality of travel from Baghdad to the IKR (such as to Irbil by air); (b) the likelihood of K's securing employment in the IKR; and (c) the availability of assistance from family and friends in the IKR.

21. As a general matter, a non-Kurd who is at real risk in a home area in Iraq is unlikely to be able to relocate to the IKR.

F. EXISTING COUNTRY GUIDANCE DECISIONS

22. This decision replaces all existing country guidance on Iraq

The Appellant's Case

205. The Appellant is Kurdish and comes from Kirkuk, which is one of the contested areas of Iraq. He would face an Article 15(c) risk if he returns there.

206. However, the Respondent has confirmed that the Appellant would be returned to Baghdad city. There is no evidence that the Appellant has access to a current or expired Iraqi passport, or a laissez-passer, and we conclude that he does not. In all the circumstances we find that he will not be returnable until he is able to supply sufficient documentation to the Iraqi Embassy in London to enable it to provide him with a passport or a laissez passer. This will only occur if he can provide a copy of a CSID or Nationality Certificate. His return is, therefore, not currently feasible.

207. Given that the appellant's return is not currently feasible it could be said that it is unnecessary to hypothesise any risk to him upon his return to Iraq. However, as identified in paragraphs 169 and 170 above, there may be cases where it will be evident that the person concerned would be at real risk of persecution or serious harm irrespective of the lack of documentation and that an applicant should not be precluded for pursuing a claim to international protection in circumstances where the asserted risk of harm is not (or not solely) based on factors (such as lack of documentation) that currently render a person's actual return unfeasible.

208. The appellant's legal advisors were not to know our findings on this issue at the time of presenting the appellant's appeal, and we have heard no submissions on the issue of whether, despite it not being feasible to return the appellant, it is said his circumstances are such that he is entitled to humanitarian protection. It is no answer to this, we think, for us to simply request the parties to make submissions on this issue in writing. This would cause prejudice to the appellant not of his own making. There are matters of factual dispute such as, inter alia, the appellant's claimed inability to speak Arabic; the whereabouts of certain of his family members; and (possibly) his ability to enter and remain in the IKR as longer-term alternative to Baghdad, which require resolution in these proceedings. Although the appellant's legal representatives chose not to call him to give oral evidence before the Upper Tribunal, the significance of the matters of fact still in dispute could not have been fully appreciated, and certainly was not by the Tribunal, until the 'Country Guidance' had been formulated. Had it been so appreciated we have no doubt that not only would the appellant have been called to give evidence but Dr Fatah could also have been asked to provide evidence on matters relevant to these issues; for example, the likelihood of, and extent to which, the appellant would have been taught Arabic as part of the education process that he accepts he undertook in Iraq.

209. The Tribunal last undertook a fact finding exercise in relation to this appellant as long ago as April 2011 i.e. over 4 years ago. Whilst the findings of fact made by Designated Judge Wynne have been preserved, he did not make findings on all of the matters that have subsequently become relevant to assessment of the appellant's claim. It is equally clear that as a consequence of the passage of time the situation in Iraq for the appellant's family may have changed. Findings are required in this regard.

210. In light of all that we have said above, we conclude that the most appropriate course, given the extent of the fact finding necessary in this appeal, is to remit the matter to the First-tier Tribunal for it to make the further necessary findings of fact. The Tribunal is hereby directed to thereafter apply the relevant Country Guidance.

Signed:

Upper Tribunal Judge O'Connor

Paragraph 168, 169 and 203 of this decision have been amended pursuant to Rule 42 of the Tribunal Procedure (Upper Tribunal) Rules 2008.

APPENDIX A

DOCUMENTARY EVIDENCE BEFORE THE UPPER TRIBUNAL

Expert Reports

Date	Description
27 February 2015	Expert report of Dr Fatah
8 April 2015	Expert's Response to Respondent's Questions
1 May 2015	Expert's Additional Report on "Central Archive"
19 May 2015	Supplementary Expert report of Dr Fatah

Documents before the Upper Tribunal

Date	*Source*	Description
Undated
Undated	International Organization for Migration (IOM)	Information Leaflet: Magnet II - Job Placement Assistance - for Voluntary Returnees from Belgium, Finland, France Germany, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom returning to the Kurdistan region of Iraq
2015
1 January 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Iraq Endures One of its deadliest years
1 January 2015	The New York Times	Iraq : Civilian Deaths Increase in 2014
1 January 2015	UNAMI	UN Casualty figures for December; 2014 deadliest since 2008 in Iraq
1 January 2015	Iraq Body Count (IBC)	Iraq 2014: Civilian deaths almost doubling year on year
2 January 2015	Rudaw	Jalawal, Sadia seethe in sectarian rivalries
2 January 2015	Rudaw	Mosul governor: 10,000 volunteers against ISIS; Zumar assault repulsed
3 January 2015	Daily Sabah	Almost 100,000 people killed in a year in Iraq and Syria
3 January 2015	Al Jazeera	ISIL is losing. Iraqis optimistic for 2015
4 January 2015	BasNews	US Condemns the Killing of Three Sunni Clerics in Iraq
6 January 2015	Immigration Appeals Board (UNE) (Norway)	UNE halts returns to parts of Iraq
8 January 2015	New York Times	Iraq : Suicide attacks leave at least 23 dead
12 January 2015	Associated Press	Officials say suicide bombing kills 12 people in Iraq
12 January 2015	Musings on Iraq	Insurgents pick up attacks in Iraq but casualties remain stable 1 ^st week of January 2015
14 January 2015	Musings on Iraq	Why has there been a dramatic drop in car bombs in Iraq
15 January 2015	The Institute for the Study of War	ISIS sanctuary map
17 January 2015	Al Jazeera	Iraqis in Erbil happy despite war with ISIL
18 January 2015	Rudaw	800,000 strong Shiite militia calls for formal recognition by Baghdad
19 January 2015	Musings on Iraq	1,200 casualties in Iraq in 2 ^nd week of January 2015
27 January 2015	OCHA	Iraq ; Humanitarian Snapshot
29 January 2015	Human Rights Watch	World Report 2015 - Iraq
30 January 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Islamic State Militant Attacks, Bombs Kill 30 in Iraq
1 February 2015	UN	UN casualty figures for January 2015
2 February 2015	UN Security Council	Second report of the Secretary-General pursuant to paragraph 6 of resolution 2169 (2014)
2 February 2015	United Nations News Centre	At least 1,375 people killed by violence in January, says UN Iraq Mission
2 February 2015	Human Rights Watch	Iraq : ISIS, Militias Feed Cycle of Abuses
3 February 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Iraqi government approves bill on creation of National Guard
7 February 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Deadly bombings strike Baghdad before removal of curfew
8 February 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Iraq : Baghdad curfew lifted after decade
9 February 2015	United States Department of State Bureau of Diplomatic Security	Iraq 2015 Crime and Safety Report: Baghdad
9 February 2015	US Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC)	Iraq 2015 Crime and Safety Report: Baghdad
13 February 2015	Landinfo	Security Situation in Baghdad
15 February 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Sunni lawmakers boycott Iraqi parliament after killing
15 February 2015	Human Rights Watch	Iraq : Militias Escalates Abuses, Possibly War Crimes
16 February 2015	Freedom House	Freedom in the World 2015 Iraq
18 February 2015	Amnesty International	Iraq : Investigate Baghdad kidnapping and assassination of Sunni leader and his convoy
23 February 2015	United Nations News Centre	Iraq : UN documents rights violations of increasingly sectarian nature
23 February 2015	Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) / United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI)	Report on the protection of Civilians in the Armed conflict in Iraq: 11 September - 10 December 2014
23 February 2015	Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR)	Iraq : UN report documents human rights violations of increasingly sectarian nature
24 February 2015	United Nations News Centre	Situation 'very worrying' for displaced families from Iraq's Anbar province, UN officials warn
25 February 2015	Amnesty International	Amnesty International Report 2014/15 - Iraq
26 February 2015	Human Rights Watch	Iraqi Kurdistan: Arabs Displaced, Cordoned off, Detained
27 February 2015	International Organization for Migration (IOM)	IOM identifies Nearly 2.5 Million Displaced in Iraq
28 February 2015	OCHA	Iraq : Humanitarian Dashboard
March 2015	IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix	Response to the IDP crisis in Iraq - Round XVII March 2015
1 March 2015	United Nations Iraq	UN Casualty Figures for February 2015
3 March 2015	El Inside Track	Iraq , Weekly Security Report
4 March 2015	Human Rights Watch	Iraq : Prevent Militia Reprisals in Tikrit Fighting
6 March 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	UN says Thousands of Iraqi Sunni Civilians Flee Battle at Tikrit
6 March 2015	Al-Monitor	Militarization of Iraqi society is intensifying
8 March 2015	Al-Shorfa	More than 3 million Iraqis displaced by ISIL
10 March 2015	El Inside Track	Iraq Weekly Security Report
12 March 2015	UK Government	Iraq - Country of Concern
12 March 2015	International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)	ICRC Annual Report2014 - Iraq
12 March 2015	International Organization for Migration (IOM)	Internal Displacement in Iraq Passes Million
12 March 2015	International Business Times	12 dead and 25 injured as Shia targeted in Baghdad bombings
12 March 2015	Iraqi News	2 killed, 3 wounded in alSaadoun bombing in Baghdad
13 March 2015	Human Rights Council	Annual report of the United National High Commissioner for Human Rights on the human rights situation in Iraq in light of abuses committed by the so-called Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant and associated groups
14 March 2015	Middle East Online	Four killed in Baghdad Shiite pilgrimage violence
14 March 2015	United Nations News Centre	At Security Council, UN officials warn against 'waning' global attention to plight of civilians in Iraq
14 March 2015	Iraqi News	Gunmen burn Investment Sunni Endowment building in Adhamiya Baghdad
14 March 2015	Amnesty International	Amnesty International Report
15 March 2015	The Daily Beast	Torched Baghdad Neighbourhood could be just the beginning
15 March 2015	Foreign Policy	How the Shiites are blowing it in Iraq
15 March 2015	Washington Times	Islamic State captures government compound in Ramadi
15 March 2015	UNHCR	Report on the judicial response to allegation of torture in Iraq
15 March 2015	UNHCR	IDP Operational Update
17 March 2015	El Inside Track	Iraq Weekly Security Report
17 March 2015	United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)	Q&A: Positive outlook for Iraq, but improvement will take months to show
18 March 2015	Human Rights Watch	After Liberation Came Destruction: Iraqi Militias and the Aftermath of Amerli
20 March 2015	Jamestown Foundation	Islamic State Develops New Strategies to Destabilize the KRG
21 March 2015	Reuters	Iraqi Sunnis accuse Shi'ite paramilitaries of burning homes outside Tikrit
24 March 2015	PM Barzani	Shiite militias should be regulated
24 March 2015	The New York Times	Iraqi Forces Map Plan Against ISIS, With Strategic Use of Militias
24 March 2015	IRIN	Iraqi Kurdistan nears breaking point
24 March 2015	El Inside Tack	Iraq Weekly Security Report
26 March 2015	Caitas	Harsh life for Iraqis in Kurdistan
27 March 2015	OCHA	Iraq Crisis. Situation Report No.37
27 March 2015	Human Rights Watch	UN: Human Rights Council Fails Iraqi Civilians
April 2015	IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix	Response to the IDP crisis in Iraq - Round XVIII April 2015
April 2015	Home Office	Country Information and Guidance. Iraq: Security situation in Baghdad, southern governorates and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI)
1 April 2015	Iraq Business News	Nearly 1,000 Iraqis Killed in March
1 April 2015	UNAMI	Archived casualty figures (November 2012 - March 2015)
1 April 2015	United Nations Iraq	UN Casualty Figures for March 2015
2 April 2015	Al-Monitor	Iraqi residents denied return to town seized from ISIS
3 April 2015	Institute for the Study of War	Control of Terrain in Iraq
3 April 2015	Institute for the Study of War	ISIS Sanctuary
3 April 2015	OCHA	Iraq IDP Crisis. Situation Report No. 38
5 April 2015	The Guardian	Iraqi Sunnis forced to abandon homes and identity in battle for survival
7 April 2015	NPR	After Retaking Iraqi City. Shiite Militias Accused of targeting Sunnis
7 April 2015	Iraq Business News	Weekly Security Update
7 April 2015	The New York Times	A visual guide to the crisis in Iraq and Syria
7 April 2015	El Inside Track	Iraq Weekly Security Report
8 April 2015	Musings on Iraq	Islamic State Launches New Car Bomb Wave in Iraq
14 April 2015	USAID	Iraq , Complex Emergency Factsheet 5
14 April 2015	Voice of America News	Sectarian Tensions rise as Iraq Takes Fights Against IS into Sunni Heartland
14 April 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Deadly car bombs strike Baghdad area
17 April 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Bombings Kill Dozens in Baghdad, Erbil
19 April 2015	United Nations News Centre	UN humanitarian agencies mobilize assistance amid renewed fighting in Iraq
19 April 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	UN Says 90,000 Displaced by Violence in Iraq's Anbar Crisis 'Dramatic'
20 April 2015	IRIN	Displaced Iraqis blocked from Baghdad
21 April 2015	United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)	Struggle to reach safety for thousands of civilians fleeing Iraq's Ramadi
23 April 2015	Musings on Iraq	Fighting in Anbar and Salahaddin Increases Casualties in Iraq 3 ^rd Week of April 2015
24 April 2015	McClathy DC	Islamic State offensives stretch Iraq's elite troops thin
24 April 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Ramadi Civilians Fleeing IS 'Charged Hundreds of dollars to enter Baghdad
25 April 2015	Relief Web	4 displaced Iraqi men kidnapped, killed
26 April 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Car Bombs, Suicide Attack Kill at least 22 in Iraq
27 April 2015	UK Home Office	Country Information and Guidance - Iraq: Security situation in Baghdad, southern governorates and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) (April 2015)
28 April 2015	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Car Bombs Kill 19 in Baghdad
28 April 2015	International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)	Iraq : ICRC delivers urgent aid amid heavy fighting in Anbar
28 April 2015	Israel National News	Eight Iraqis Shot Dead, Dumped in Baghdad
28 April 2015	Rudaw	UN local staffer abducted in Iraq; 8 bodies found in Baghdad
30 April 2015	Al Jazeera	Fear of hidden ISIL
30 April 2015	ABC News	Car Bomb Kills 21 People in Iraq; EU warns of donor fatigue
30 April 2015	Channel News Asia	Iraq poised to deploy Iran backed Shi'ite militia in offensive in West
1 May 2015	Al-Monitor	Anbar's displaced Sunnis not safe from sectarianism
1 May 2015	ABC News	Baghdad Officials Blame Sunni Displaced for Wave of Bombings
1 May 2015	CBS News	Iraq officials blame bombs on residents fleeing war
2 May 2015	News 24	Iraqi officials blame Sunni displaced for bombings
2 May 2015	International Business Times	Islamic State in Baghdad: Two near simultaneous blasts kill at least 17
3 May 2015	Iraqi News	37 dead, wounded in security accidents in Baghdad
3 May 2015	UNAMI	Civilians continue to pay a heavy price due to terrorism, violence and armed conflict
3 May 2015	CTV News	Revenge killings in Iraq growing concern for US, Canadian officials
4 May 2015	Institute for the Study of War	Iraq Situation Report: 4 May 2015
4 May 2015	The New Indian Express	28 killed in bomb attacks, clashes with IS in Iraq
4 May 2015	Iraqi News	Anbar Council appeals to government to protect displaced families from gangs of Baghdad
4 May 2015	Iraqi News	Civilian, senior officer killed, 5 bodies found in Baghdad
4 May 2015	Fars News Agency	Iraqi Army Kills over 16 ISIL Terrorism in Northern Baghdad
4 May 2015	Israel National News	ISIS Claims Responsibility for Baghdad Car Bomb Attack
4 May 2015	The Nation	IS claims Baghdad bombing that killed 15
5 May 2015	UK Government	Iraq Travel Advice
6 May 2015	Home Office	Response to country of origin information (COI) request. Baghdad Governorates
6 May 2015	Home Office	Response to country of origin information (COI) request. The Security Situation in the "Baghdad belts" region
6 May 2015	Institute for the Study of War	Iraq Situation Report: 6 May 2015
2014
2014	IOM	Displacement Tracking Matrix
April 2014	IOM	Governorate Profile: Thi Qar
April 2014	US Department of State	Diplomacy in Action. Chapter 2. Country Reports. Middle East and North Africa.
27 May 2014	Human Rights Watch	Iraq : Government Attacking Fallujah Hospital
June 2014	UNICEF	2014 Strategic Response Plan Revision - Iraq
10 June 2014	The Long War Journal	ISIS seizes more towns in northern and central Iraq
10 June 2014	The Long War Journal	ISIS takes control of Mosul, Iraq's second largest city
10 June 2014	Institute for the Study of War	Recent chronology on the fall of Mosul
10 June 2014	IOM	Iraq Mission. Thi-Qar Governorate Profile - April 2014
10 June 2014	IOM	Iraq Mission. Missan Governorate Profile - April 2014
10 June 2014	IOM	Iraq Mission. Basrah Governorate Profile - April 2014
11 June 2014	Amnesty International	Iraq : Civilians must be protected following the insurgents' takeover of Mosul
11 June 2014	The Long War Journal	ISIS takes control of Bayji, Tikrit in lighting southward advance
11 June 2014	Institute for the Study of War	Developments in the aftermath of the Fall of Mosul
11 June 2014	Institute for the Study of War	The Islamic State of Iraq and al0Sham Captures Mosul and Advances towards Baghdad
11 June 2014	Institute for the Study of War	ISIS Activity in Mosul and Beyond
11 June 2014	Reuters	UPDATE. A- Sunni militants push into Iraq oil refinery
11 June 2014	Institute for the Study of War	Ba'athist Insurgents Support ISIS
12 June 2014	The Long War Journal	ISIS advance halted at Samarra
13 June 2014	Foreign Policy	Before the Fall. ISIS is wreaking havoc in Mosul long before it took over the city
14 June 2014	The Long War Journal	ISIS, allies reviving Baghdad belts' battle plan
15 June 2014	The Long War Journal	ISIS photographs detail execution of Iraqi soldiers
15 June 2014	Institute for the Study of War	The Iraqi Shi'a Mobilization to Counter the ISIS Offensive
17 June 2014	The New York Times	As Sunnis Die in Iraq, a Cycle is Restarting
17 June 2014	The Long War Journal	ISIS releases a variety of videos
19 June 2014	The Long War Journal	ISIS photos show gains and Iraqi support
20 June 2014	The Long War Journal	Ansar al Islam claims attacks against Iraqi military police
24 June 2014	CNN	Iraq 's minorities left between scorpions and a hard place
24 June 2014	The Long War Journal	Analysis: A protracted struggle ahead for Iraq
25 June 2014	Human Rights Watch	Tunisians implicated in Iraq War Crimes
25 June 2014	UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs	New IDPs Map by Province
26 June 2014	Human Rights Watch	Iraq : ISIS Execution Sit Located
26 June 2014	Politico magazine	Letter from Iraq: No way out
26 June 2014	REACH initiative	Entry point monitoring Kurdish Region of Iraq
27 June 2014	The Long War Journal	ISIS advances on the oil fields in Salahaddin
27 June 2014	International Business Times	ISIS Twitter Campaign Threatens US With Bloody Vengeance if it Acts in Iraq
27 June 2014	Human Rights Watch	Iraq : ISIS kidnaps Shia Turkmen, Destroys Shrines
27 June 2014	Amnesty International	Iraq : Testimonies point to dozens of revenge killings of Sunni detainees
27 June 2014	Institute for the Study of War	ISIS battleplan for Baghdad
27 June 2014	UNHCR briefing note	Iraq : 10,000 displaced from Christian communities near Mosul
28 June 2014	BBC	Iraq army routs ISIS rebels' in offensive on Tikrit
29 June 2014	The Long War Journal	Iraqi troops, insurgents battle for Tikrit
29 June 2014	The Long War Journal	ISIS announces formation of Caliphate, rebrands as 'Islamic State'
30 June 2014	UN News Service	Iraq violence: UN confirms more than 2,000 killed, injured since early June
30 June 2014	The New York Times	ISIS Threatens Al Qeda as Flagship Movement of Extremists
30 June 2014	BBC	Is this the end for Iraq?
30 June 2014	BBC	Viewpoint: ISIS caliphate a dangerous development
30 June 2014	The Long War Journal	Google map of Iraqi and Syrian Towns and Cities seized by the Islamic State of Iraq and the Sham and its allies
30 June 2014	Institute for the Study of War	Iraq Situation Report: 30 June 2014
30 June 2014	Al Jazeera	Iraqis fear sectarian violence in Baghdad
July 2014	Institute for the Study of War	Middle East Security Report. The Islamic State: A Counter-Strategy for a Counter-State
July 2014	REACH initiative	Vulnerability, Needs and intentions of the Internally Displaced Persons in Northern Iraq
July 2014	International Rescue Committee	Battling an uncertain future: Iraq's renewed displacement crisis
1 July 2014	UN	Casualty figures for June 2014
1 July 2014	BBC	Iraq : Kurdistan independence referendum planned
1 July 2014	BBC	Iraq crisis: Key players in Sunni rebellion
2 July 2014	Assessment Capacities Project (ACAPS)	Humanitarian implications of Violence in Northern and Central Iraq
2 July 2014	Institute for the Study of War	Control of Terrain in Iraq (map)
5 July 2014	Office of High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR)	Report on the protection of civilians in the non international armed conflict in Iraq: 5 June - 5 July 2014
18 July 2014	OCHA	Iraq IDP Crisis. Situation Report No.3
22 July 2014	Daily News	Iraqi Turkmens 'left for dead' in desert
24 July 2014	REACH initiative	IDP Factsheet: Sulaymaniyah Governorate
24 July 2014	REACH initiative	IDP Factsheet: Erbil Governorate
26 July 2014	OCHA	Iraq IDP Crisis. Situation Report No.4
August 2014	REACH initiative	Rapid Assessment Report: Vulnerability, Needs and Intentions of Internally Displaced Persons in Northern Iraq
1 August 2014	UN Office for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs	Iraq IDP Crisis Situation Report No.5
2 August 2014	BBC	Syria Iraq: The Islamic State
7 August 2014	REACH initiative	Entry point monitoring. Kurdistan region of Iraq
6 August 2014	The Independent	Baghdad 's dismembered society: Kurds face sectarian recriminations in a city that has become largely Shia dominated
8 August 2014	United Nations for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)	Iraq IDP Crisis. Situation Report No.6
18 August 2014	REACH initiative	Iraq IDP Crisis Overview
18 August 2014	REACH initiative	Displacement from al Muqdadiya, Sa'aiya and Jalawla to Khanaqin 7 Kalar
22 August 2014	OCHA	Iraq IDP Crisis. Situation Report No.8
26 August 2014	REACH initiative	Iraq - Kurdistan Regions of Iraq "Primary Displacements of IDPs to Sulaymaniyah Governorate - 13 to 24 July 2014"
26 August 2014	New York Times	Betrayal of Yazidis Stokes Iraqi Fears of Return to 2006 Sectarian Horrors
28 August 2014	REACH initiative	Entry point monitoring. Kurdistan region of Iraq
28 August 2014	The Washington Post	Iraqi Kurds say their fight is against more than just the Islamic State
28 August 2014	The Christian Science Monitor	Aid to Sunni Arabs in Kurdistan comes with a side of suspicion
28 August 2014	UK Home Office	Country Information and Guidance - Iraq: The security situation in the 'contested' areas of Iraq (August 2014)
29 August 2014	OCHA	Iraq IDP Crisis. Situation Report No.9
September 2014	IOM	Displacement Snapshot: Dahuk
September 2014	IOM	Displacement Snapshot: Erbil
September 2014	IOM	Displacement Snapshot: Baghdad
September 2014	IOM	Overview of Displacement in Southern Iraq
September 2014	Shelter for Life International	Rapid Response of IDPs in Erbil City
September 2014	Inter-Agency Standing Committee (IASC)	Humanitarian Crisis in Iraq. Gender Alert
September 2014	UNHCR	Emergency Response for the Iraq Situation
4 September 2014	REACH initiative	Entry point monitoring. Kurdistan region of Iraq
4 September 2014	ACAPS briefing note	Humanitarian Implications of Violence in Northern and Central Iraq
6 September 2014	OCHA	Map of IDP site (Dahuk - Ninewa) (as at 5 September 2014)
6 September 2014	OCHA	Iraq : Displacement - Humanitarian Snapshot (as at 6 September 2014)
9 September 2014	OCHA	Iraq , Humanitarian Assistance (as at 9 September 2014)
9 September 2014	IOM	Iraq Mission: Najaf Governorate Profile- September 2014
9 September 2014	IOM	Iraq Mission: Kerbala Governorate Profile - September 2014
9 September 2014	IOM	Iraq Mission: Dehuk Governorate Profile - September 2014
10 September 2014	OHCHR/UNAMI	Report on the Protection of Civilians in Armed Conflict in Iraq
12 September 2014	International Organization for Migration (IOM)	Iraq : IOM Assists Most Vulnerable in Southern and Central Iraq
12 September 2014	OCHA	Iraq IDP Crisis. Situation Report No.11
13 September 2014	OCHA	Iraq IDP Sites (as of 5 September 2014)
15 September 2014	UNHCR Iraq	Operational Update: Internally Displaced Persons
15 September 2014	World Food Programme	Iraq Crisis Situation Report No.6
17 September 2014	IOM	Iraq Mission: Erbil Governorate Profile - September 2014
18 September 2014	Institute for the Study of War	Warning Intelligence Update: ISIS attacks Baghdad
19 September 2014	OCHA	Iraq Crisis. Situation Report No. 12
20 September 2014	IOM	Iraq Crisis Response. Weekly Situation Report No.5
22 September 2014	Integrated Regional Information Networks (IRIN)	Displaced Iraqis plug response gaps
23 September 2014	IOM	Iraqis displaced by conflict struggle to find adequate shelter
24 September 2014	UNHCR	Creating a home from home, far from home in Erbil
25 September 2014	REACH initiative	Iraq : Erbil Governorate - Ainkawa MODM Camp (updated 7 September 2014)
25 September 2014	REACH initiative	Iraq - Kurdistan Region of Iraq and Anbar Governorate; IDP Camps and Sites: Existing and Potential Location. As of 13 September 2014
25 September 2014	OCHA	Iraq Humanitarian Needs Overview
25 September 2014	IOM	Iraq Mission: Baghdad Governorate Profile - September 2014
25 September 2014	IOM	Iraq Mission: Southern Governorate Profile - September 2014
25 September 2014	IOM	Iraq Mission: Sulaymaniyah Governorate Profile - September 2014
25 September 2014	Global Voices Middle East	Survivor Recounts Iraqi Prison Massacre
26 September 2014	OCHA	Iraq Crisis. Situation Report No. 13
27 September 2014	IOM	Iraq Crisis Response. Weekly Situation Report No.6
28 September 2014	REACH initiative	Iraq : IOM Iraq Displacement Tracking Matrix
29 September 2014	REACH initiative	Iraq : Destination of IDPs from Central Iraq
October 2014	REACH initiative	Shelter Cluster Rapid Assessment. Iraq Internal Displacement Crisis. Area of Origin Assessment Report.
October 2014	Institute for the Study of War	Beyond the Islamic State: Iraq's Sunni Insurgency
1 October 2014	Middle East Monitor	Iraq ministry says 320,000 Iraqis have sought refuge in Dohuk
2 October 2014	Office of the United Nations of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) / United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI)	Report on the Protection of Civilians in the Armed Conflict in Iraq
3 October 2014	International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC)	Emergency Appeal Operations Updated. Iraq: Population Movement
3 October 2014	OCHA	Iraq Crisis. Situation Report No.14
5 October 2014	Associated Press	Kurds scrutinise refugees at camps to keep IS out
6 October 2014	IOM	Iraq Crisis Response. Weekly Situation Report No.7
7 October 2014	Inter Press Service	Schools open in Iraqi Kurdistan ... But for Refugees Not Students
8 October 2014	Premiere Urgence- Aide Medicale Internationale	2014 - Multi Sectoral Rapid Needs Assessment. Focus on IDP From Northern Iraq
9 October 2014	RUDAW	Yezidis tormented by living conditions, trauma
10 October 2014	OCHA	Iraq Crisis. Situation Report No.15
14 October 2014	Amnesty International	Absolute Impunity: Militia Rule in Iraq
19 October 2014	Vox	Map: ISIS is just the latest in Baghdad's decade of hell
24 October 2014	Human Rights Watch	For Iraqi's Sunnis, Sectarian Militias Pose an Extra Threat
27 October 2014	UNHCR	UNHCR position on returns to Iraq
29 October 2014	Refugees International (USA)	Waiting for Winter: Displaced Iraqis in the KRI
November 2014	REACH initiative	Shelter and CCCM Cluster Rapid Assessment: Iraq Internal Displacement Crisis
4 November 2014	Human Rights Watch	The Gangs of Iraq
11 November 2014	Radio Free Europe	Suicide Bombers Strike in Two Iraqi Cities
14 November 2014	Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)	Gulf Security, Stability, and Terrorism: Country Rankings
19 November 2014	Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty	Four Killed in Suicide Attack in Iraqi Kurdish Capital
21 November 2014	Human Rights Watch	Iraq : Spate of Attacks Terrorize Civilians
25 November 2014	Institute for the Study of War	ISIS in the Southwest Baghdad Belts
5 December 2014	The New York Times	Sunnis Fear Permanent Displacement From Iraqi Town
11 December 2014	BBC	Jihadism: Tracking a month of deadly attacks
14 December 2014	Rudaw	Iranian official: Basij forces saved Baghdad from ISIS takeover
18 December 2014	The New York Times	Backed by US Airstrikes, Kurds Reverse and ISIS Gain
18 December 2014	Musings on Iraq	Attacks up but casualties remain stable in Iraq 8-14 December 2014
20 December 2014	Rudaw	Group accuses Iraqi government of expelling Sunnis from Baghdad
23 December 2014	Musings on Iraq	Violence and casualties remain at low level in Iraq in 3 ^rd week of December 2014
24 December 2014	UK Home Office	Country Information and Guidance - Iraq: Internal relocation (and technical obstacles)
25 December 2014	IOM	DTM Dashboard: Iraq IDP Crisis. Displacement Flows (January 2014 to 24 December 2014)
25 December 2014	IOM	DTM Dashboard: Iraq IDP Crisis. Shelter Group by Displacement Flow
30 December 2014	BBC	Iraqi forces recapture Dhuluiya from Islamic State
30 December 2014	International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)	Iraq : A tough year for civilians, especially the displaced
31 December 2014	Musings on Iraq	Slight Upstick in Violence in Iraq in Forth Week of December 2014
2013
May 2013	Institute for International and Human Rights	Iraq 's Minorities and Other Vulnerable Groups: Legal Framework, Documentation and Human Rights
21 June 2013	Home Office	Country of Origin Information (COI) response compiled and researched by COI service. Returns to Erbil
13 August 2013	Home Office	Iraq bulletin: Security situation update 2013
December 2013	IOM	Internal Displacement in Iraq: Barriers to Integration
20 December 2013	BBC	Sharpening Sunni-Shia schism bodes ill for Middle East
2012
March 2012	UK Border Agency	Iraq : Joint Report of the Danish Immigration Service / UK Border Agency Fact Finding Mission to Erbil and Dahuk, Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI)
16 April 2012	UK Border Agency	Bulletin: Treatment of Persons Returning to Iraq, Including Failed Asylum Seekers: The Situation of Internally Displaced Persons and Procedures to Re-Obtain Documentation to Access Services and Facilitate Internal Movement

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	Upper Tribunal (Immigration and Asylum Chamber)
You are here: BAILII >> Databases >> Upper Tribunal (Immigration and Asylum Chamber) >> AA (Article 15(c)) (Rev 2) [2015] UKUT 544 (IAC) (30 October 2015) URL: http://www.bailii.org/uk/cases/UKUT/IAC/2015/544.html Cite as: [2015] UKUT 544 (IAC)

Upper Tribunal (Immigration and Asylum Chamber)